SEC's ETP regulations and major investor purchases indicate a pivotal moment for Pepe

The

(PEPE) token is nearing a pivotal point as it consolidates within an upward-sloping triangle, with both analysts and blockchain data indicating that a breakout could push its value to $0.000017 or beyond. Technical signals, increased whale accumulation, and broader economic influences are all contributing to the current outlook for this meme coin’s short- and mid-term direction.

Since mid-2024, PEPE has been confined within a narrow ascending triangle, characterized by a rising support line and flat resistance. The triangle’s peak aligns with present price levels, with the token recently touching $0.00001043 at the upper edge of the formation BlockNews [ 4 ]. Experts point out that such patterns often resolve upward in trending markets, especially when backed by strong trading volume and momentum.

Several technical metrics support the possibility of a breakout. The Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential has shown multiple “buy” signals on daily timeframes, while both RSI and MACD indicate momentum ranging from neutral to bullish The Bit Journal [ 1 ]. ZAYK Charts has also identified a symmetrical triangle, suggesting a potential 78% rally if the pattern persists The Coin Republic [ 2 ].

Blockchain data shows rising confidence in PEPE, as large investors (whales) have increased their holdings by 1.75%, now controlling 303 trillion tokens in recent weeks BlockNews [ 4 ]. This accumulation, along with a 2.9% drop in tokens held on exchanges over the past month, points to less selling pressure and the possibility of a bullish squeeze TheTradable [ 5 ]. Whale activity has also sparked notable price moves, such as trader James Wynn’s 10x leveraged long position, which resulted in $800K in unrealized profits The Coin Republic [ 2 ].

Market optimism is further supported by a 2.6% increase in the CoinDesk 20 index over the last day, signaling a broader recovery among altcoins BlockNews [ 4 ]. Still, PEPE could face downward pressure if it fails to maintain crucial support levels like $0.000009 or $0.0000055, which might lead to a breakdown CoinSpeaker [ 3 ].

Analysts outline several possible paths for PEPE’s price. In a bullish scenario, the token could surge 200-300% to reach $0.000017 or even $0.00003, especially if macroeconomic drivers—such as Federal Reserve rate reductions or SEC approval of ETFs—channel more investment into meme coins The Bit Journal [ 1 ]. The base case expects the price to fluctuate between $0.0000075 and $0.0000094 through 2025, while a bearish outlook warns of a drop to $0.0000055 or lower if the wider crypto market weakens The Bit Journal [ 1 ].

Regulatory changes, including the SEC’s new listing rules for crypto ETPs, could also make PEPE more accessible to traditional investors, potentially increasing demand The Bit Journal [ 1 ].

Wider macroeconomic conditions remain a major factor. The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions, inflation rates, and overall market risk appetite will all impact speculative assets like PEPE. For a breakout to be sustained, ongoing capital inflows into riskier assets are necessary, which is not assured.

Traders are advised to look for confirmation of a breakout through strong volume and to avoid entering positions too early. A move above resistance without significant volume is seen as weak, while a fall below key support could invalidate the bullish setup The Bit Journal [ 1 ].

PEPE’s chart structure, combined with whale accumulation and expert projections, suggests a strong chance of an upward breakout. However, the unpredictable nature of meme tokens and broader economic uncertainties mean that the outcome is not guaranteed. Investors should focus on managing risk, tracking trading volume and sentiment, and waiting for clear signals before making investment decisions.