The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March within the range of 5.25% to 5.50% is 93.5%. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.5%. For May, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged is 72.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 25.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1.4%.