According to CME Federal Reserve observation data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 99%, and the probability of a rate cut by 25 basis points is 1%. By May, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 79.7%, with a cumulative chance for a rate cut by 25 basis points at 20.1%, and a cumulative chance for a rate cut by 50 basis points at only 0.2%.