According to the CME ‘Fed Watch’, the probability that the Fed will keep the current rate unchanged by December is 37.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis points of interest rate cuts is 62.8%. The probability of keeping current rates unchanged by January next year is 28.4%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 56.8%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 14.8%.