Dogecoin's price has lost its momentum, struggling to maintain its bullish trend. After failing to sustain its upward trajectory, Dogecoin is now trading within a consolidation range. The question now is whether Dogecoin's price can hold its support or if a crash is on the horizon.
After a period of strong upward momentum, Dogecoin's price has entered a phase of consolidation. Instead of continuing its uptrend, DOGE is now stuck in a range between $0.48 and $0.37. This consolidation shows that buyers are losing control, and sellers are gaining the upper hand.
Consolidation is a natural part of market cycles, but it’s also a warning sign that the trend could be changing. Dogecoin’s inability to break above $0.48 and its repeated tests of the $0.37 support suggest that selling pressure is increasing. If $0.37 breaks, it could signal the start of a larger downtrend.
Here’s why this matters:
If Dogecoin's price remains below the 21-day SMA, it’s likely to continue its downtrend. Traders are now focused on whether $0.37 can hold as support.
DOGE/USD 4-hours chart - TradingView
There are several key factors that could push Dogecoin's price even lower. Here’s a look at the most important ones:
Bitcoin is the leader of the crypto market, and when Bitcoin struggles, it affects all other cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin is currently facing a critical resistance at $104,000. If it fails to break this level, analysts predict a potential Bitcoin drop to $100,000 or lower, which would impact the broader market.
Since altcoins like Dogecoin tend to follow Bitcoin’s price movements, a Bitcoin crash could trigger a strong sell-off in Dogecoin. This is especially true for memecoins, which are historically more volatile than larger-cap assets like Ethereum or Cardano.
In bearish market conditions, altcoins are often hit harder than Bitcoin. Since Dogecoin is a memecoin, it is even more vulnerable to steep declines. During bear markets, investors tend to sell riskier assets first, and memecoins are often the first to go.
Market sentiment plays a huge role in Dogecoin’s price movement. Unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, Dogecoin relies heavily on hype, community support, and news cycles. When sentiment shifts negative, Dogecoin's price tends to drop much faster than other top cryptocurrencies.
Where could Dogecoin's price go next ? Analysts have identified several key support and resistance levels to watch, as well as a bearish scenario that could see DOGE fall to $0.35 or lower.
DOGE/USD 4-hours chart - TradingView
The big question is whether Dogecoin's price will fall to $0.35 or lower. If Bitcoin fails to stay above $100K, a broader market correction could trigger further declines in Dogecoin.
Here’s why:
DOGE/USD 45-mins chart - TradingView
Most analysts agree that if Bitcoin crashes below $100K, Dogecoin will be one of the first altcoins to experience larger declines. For now, all eyes are on the $0.37 support and Bitcoin's ability to reclaim $104K.