Bitcoin (BTC) has made a historic breakout, trading above $106,000 after reaching a new all-time high earlier this week.
According to Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise Asset Management, this is just the beginning of a phenomenal rally that could take BTC to $200,000 by December 2025 and potentially even higher under certain conditions.
Hougan attributes the ongoing rally to three dominant forces driving demand: significant Bitcoin absorption by exchange-traded funds (ETFs), public companies like MicroStrategy expanding their holdings, and now the possibility of government adoption. Speaking on the results, Hougan said: “It all comes down to supply and demand. There’s too much demand and not enough supply, so I think the price will go even higher in 2025.”
One of the most intriguing catalysts, according to Hougan, is the proposal for a U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve, an idea reportedly supported by members of the Trump administration. The concept, introduced in a bill by Senator Cynthia Lummis, would involve the government purchasing as many as one million Bitcoins. Hougan suggested that such a move could eclipse current price predictions:
“If the government starts buying Bitcoin, $200,000 worth of Bitcoin will look outrageous. Now we’re talking about $300,000, $400,000, even $500,000 worth of Bitcoin.”
While Hougan believes the probability of such a reserve is still less than 50%, he said the proposal is not out of the question. He said there is growing interest in the idea, which could have a global domino effect, forcing other nations to follow suit and significantly increasing the value of Bitcoin.
With catalysts like a potential U.S. strategic reserve, increasing institutional adoption, and new opportunities in the public markets, Hougan remains strong on Bitcoin’s future. While 2024 has already seen tremendous growth, he hinted that the real excitement could be just around the corner:
“If we see governments or large-scale corporate companies getting into Bitcoin, 2024 will look calmer compared to the years to come.”
*This is not investment advice.
