Recent CryptoQuant data reveals a pronounced decline in Bitcoin and Ethereum futures open interest — suggesting a potential leverage washout — as speculative positions are unwound.
"In total, positions worth $1.368 billion have been closed across both instruments, and a partial market reset has been completed," CryptoQuant analyst Alex Adler said in a post on X.com. This significant reduction in open interest could potentially stabilize the market by reducing excessive speculative activity.
Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange futures open interest. Image: CryptoQuant.
Adding to this picture, total crypto liquidations in the past 24 hours have reached around $949.50 million. Notably, long liquidations have accounted for about $734.26 million, compared to $215.24 million on the short side, according to Coinglass data .
Additionally, a pivotal technical factor in the current market landscape is the Bitcoin CME gap. According to MMConsult co-founder Christopher Jaszczynski, Monday's Bitcoin downturn saw the digital asset's CME futures price drop to approximately $76,700, effectively filling the gap that had been present since November 5, 2024.
Despite this, a remaining unfilled gap persists between $84,200 and $85,900, drawing significant market attention. The clustering of orders between the $84,200 and $85,900 range could act as a magnet, drawing the price back to "fill" the gap. In effect, the gap level becomes a temporary support, leading to a potential retracement.
For context, CME Bitcoin futures operate 23 hours daily, from Sunday evening to Friday evening, with a 60-minute daily trading halt. In contrast to this, Bitcoin spot markets trade continuously 24/7. These differing trading hours can lead to price discrepancies, resulting in gaps when the futures market reopens at a different price than its previous close.
On the macro front, the DXY Index—which measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies—has seen one of its sharpest one-week declines since 2013. This recent drop is occurring at a faster rate than during President Trump’s first term, a period that coincided with the 2017 Bitcoin bull run. Although a weakening dollar generally benefits risk assets, the DXY still sits at a relatively strong 103.5, remaining above the critical 100 level.
U.S. dollar index has fallen over the past month, but still sits above the critical 100 level. Image: TradingView.
Additionally, the global cryptocurrency market cap is currently around $2.75 trillion, marking a 3.9% decline over the last 24 hours, according to CoinGecko . Bitcoin dominance is 59%, while Ethereum accounts for 8.44% of the total market cap.