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Open interest for Bitcoin and Ethereum futures plummets, potentially indicating a washout of leverage

Open interest for Bitcoin and Ethereum futures plummets, potentially indicating a washout of leverage

The Block2025/03/10 16:00
By: By Brian McGleenon
BTC-0.11%ETH-1.00%XOLDTOKEN0.00%
Quick Take Recent CryptoQuant data indicates a significant reduction in Bitcoin and Ethereum futures open interest — pointing to a potential leverage washout as speculative positions are unwound. The DXY Index has experienced one of its sharpest one-week declines since 2013 — a trend historically favorable for Bitcoin’s performance.
Open interest for Bitcoin and Ethereum futures plummets, potentially indicating a washout of leverage image 0

Recent CryptoQuant data reveals a pronounced decline in Bitcoin and Ethereum futures open interest — suggesting a potential leverage washout — as speculative positions are unwound.

"In total, positions worth $1.368 billion have been closed across both instruments, and a partial market reset has been completed," CryptoQuant analyst Alex Adler said in a post on X.com. This significant reduction in open interest could potentially stabilize the market by reducing excessive speculative activity.

Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange futures open interest. Image: CryptoQuant.

Adding to this picture, total crypto liquidations in the past 24 hours have reached around $949.50 million. Notably, long liquidations have accounted for about $734.26 million, compared to $215.24 million on the short side, according to Coinglass data .

Bitcoin CME Gap as a price magnet

Additionally, a pivotal technical factor in the current market landscape is the Bitcoin CME gap. According to MMConsult co-founder Christopher Jaszczynski, Monday's Bitcoin downturn saw the digital asset's CME futures price drop to approximately $76,700, effectively filling the gap that had been present since November 5, 2024.

Despite this, a remaining unfilled gap persists between $84,200 and $85,900, drawing significant market attention. The clustering of orders between the $84,200 and $85,900 range could act as a magnet, drawing the price back to "fill" the gap. In effect, the gap level becomes a temporary support, leading to a potential retracement.

For context, CME Bitcoin futures operate 23 hours daily, from Sunday evening to Friday evening, with a 60-minute daily trading halt. In contrast to this, Bitcoin spot markets trade continuously 24/7. These differing trading hours can lead to price discrepancies, resulting in gaps when the futures market reopens at a different price than its previous close.

Broader market dynamics

On the macro front, the DXY Index—which measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major currencies—has seen one of its sharpest one-week declines since 2013. This recent drop is occurring at a faster rate than during President Trump’s first term, a period that coincided with the 2017 Bitcoin bull run. Although a weakening dollar generally benefits risk assets, the DXY still sits at a relatively strong 103.5, remaining above the critical 100 level.

U.S. dollar index has fallen over the past month, but still sits above the critical 100 level. Image: TradingView.

Additionally, the global cryptocurrency market cap is currently around $2.75 trillion, marking a 3.9% decline over the last 24 hours, according to CoinGecko . Bitcoin dominance is 59%, while Ethereum accounts for 8.44% of the total market cap.


Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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