According to a report by Jinse Finance, based on CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining rates unchanged in June is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining rates unchanged in July is 67.3%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 32.0%, and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 0.8%.