HBAR has surged 30% in the past week, reaching a multi-week high of $0.200. This rally is a welcome development for investors, marking a significant rebound after a prolonged downtrend.
However, despite the promising price increase, sustaining this momentum could be challenging due to certain technical factors.
The exponential moving averages (EMAs) are showing signs of a shift. The 50-day EMA is beginning to trend upward, a positive sign for HBAR.
If the price continues its rise, the 50-day EMA could cross above the 200-day EMA, marking the end of the six-week-long Death Cross. This would be a major bullish signal, potentially leading to a Golden Cross, which could continue to drive HBAR’s price upward.
However, for the 50-day EMA to successfully cross above the 200-day EMA, the price needs to maintain its upward trajectory.
A failure to secure the current price levels could result in a failure to break the Death Cross, ultimately preventing the altcoin from making significant gains.
While HBAR’s price has seen a healthy rise, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in the overbought zone, sitting above the 70.0 threshold.
Historically, when HBAR’s RSI entered the overbought zone, the cryptocurrency faced a price decline, and the gains were quickly wiped away. This overbought condition raises concerns about a potential price correction, especially given the rapid pace of the recent rise.
If history repeats itself, HBAR’s impressive 30% rally this week could face a significant pullback.
The overbought signal is a warning sign that the price could lose its current momentum, especially if investors start taking profits or market conditions shift unfavorably.
HBAR is trading at $0.200, up 30% in the past week. This marks the first time in over a month and a half that the altcoin has reclaimed this price as support. The recent rally has brought HBAR closer to the critical $0.205 resistance level.
Despite the rally, HBAR might face difficulties crossing the $0.205 resistance level if the overbought conditions persist.
A price rejection at this level could trigger a pullback, with potential drops back to $0.180 or even $0.154. Such a decline would erase the recent gains and delay further upward movement for the altcoin.
However, if the broader market remains bullish, HBAR could manage to flip the $0.205 resistance into support. This would allow the altcoin to continue rising, potentially reaching $0.220 and beyond, invalidating the bearish scenario.
The ability to hold above key support levels will be crucial in determining whether HBAR can sustain its upward momentum.