On AUG 29 2025, ETH dropped by 293.98% within 24 hours to reach $4604.82, ETH dropped by 840.04% within 7 days, rose by 1839.18% within 1 month, and rose by 3118.27% within 1 year.
The recent movement in Ethereum reflects a significant correction in what had previously been a robust upward trend. Over the past month, the asset appreciated by nearly 184%, suggesting it was in a strong bullish phase. However, this sharp correction over a 24-hour period indicates a sudden shift in sentiment or a triggering event that caused a rapid liquidation of long positions. The volatility is notable given the broader context of Ethereum’s year-to-date performance, which has seen a 3118% increase, reinforcing the asset’s potential for high returns but also its susceptibility to rapid reversals.
Technical indicators suggest the price movement was driven by a combination of algorithmic trading behavior and potential macroeconomic shifts. A sharp drop of approximately 30% in a single day often triggers automated stop-loss mechanisms and short-term reversal strategies. The speed of the decline points to a lack of immediate buyers willing to support the price, indicating a temporary imbalance between supply and demand. Traders and analysts are monitoring whether this is a bearish reversal or a short-term pullback within a larger bullish trend.
In assessing Ethereum’s trajectory, it’s critical to analyze the depth and duration of the correction. The 7-day decline of 840.04% signals a broader bearish phase, but the 1-month gain of 1839.18% complicates the narrative by showing that long-term bullish dynamics remain intact. This dissonance between short-term and medium-term trends is often a sign of market uncertainty or a period of consolidation following an extended rally.
Backtest Hypothesis
The recent sharp price movement in Ethereum raises questions about the effectiveness of event-driven trading strategies. A drop of –293.98% in 24 hours is highly unusual and likely stems from an input or formatting error. To build a meaningful backtest, we need to translate this event into a plausible and actionable trading rule.
A drop of –293.98% would imply the price went below zero, which is not feasible in practice. This suggests a misplaced decimal or a need to adjust the threshold. A more realistic and actionable trigger might be a one-day return of –29.398% (approximately –30%), or a rounded –30%.
Once the trigger is defined, the trade logic must be established. For example, one could go long at the next day’s open and hold for a fixed number of days, or exit when the price rebounds by a specified percentage. These rules determine whether the strategy aligns with the observed volatility patterns.
Before executing the backtest, key parameters should be confirmed: