Com’ETH the Whales, Com’ETH the Breakout: Here’s How Big Buys Are Pushing Price Higher

Ethereum price is holding above $4,320, but trading has stayed flat for nearly a week. Since September 5, the token has barely moved, stuck between tight ranges. For traders, that kind of sideways action usually builds tension before a larger move.

On the charts, Ethereum might be breaking out of a bullish setup, but confirmation is still needed. Meanwhile, whale buying and supply signals show the buildup could already be underway.

Whales Grab $17 Billion as Exchange Supply Tightens

Over the past five days, whales have scooped up nearly 4 million ETH (from 95.73 million to 99.66 million). At today’s price of around $4,300, that equals close to $17 billion worth of ETH. This is not a small move. Big wallets often lead the trend, and when they buy in size, it can set the stage for stronger rallies.

Most importantly, the Ethereum whales scooped up supply when the ETH price was trading in a range (between September 5 and September 10). This could hint at early positioning. Maybe they also noticed the bullish pattern that we would discuss later in the piece.

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At the same time, the exchange supply ratio has dropped to 0.145, the lowest level in a year. Just a few weeks ago, in late August, it was at 0.156.

The exchange supply ratio measures how much ETH sits on exchanges compared to the total supply. This matters because if exchange reserves fall while the overall supply is steady or growing, it means less ETH is available to sell, a bullish supply squeeze signal.

When you put these two signals together, the story gets clearer.

Whales are adding billions in ETH, while fewer coins are parked on exchanges. The supply available for traders is tightening just as demand from large players rises; the perfect setup for a bullish move or a breakout.

Ethereum Price Eyes Breakout, But Confirmation Is Needed

On the daily chart, the Ethereum price is pressing against the upper boundary of a bullish “Falling Wedge” pattern that has been forming since the end of August. This setup, often linked to breakouts, comes after a period of lower highs and lower lows that squeezed the price into a narrowing range. ETH is now testing the top of that range near $4,320.

For traders, the breakout is not yet confirmed. A daily close above the upper line of the pattern is needed to seal the move. If that happens, the Ethereum price could target $4,490, $4,670, and even $4,950 (all-time high) next, based on the size of the pattern.

On the flip side, if ETH slips under $4,210, the breakout thesis weakens, and a fall toward $4,060 becomes more likely.

For now, whales buying billions and shrinking exchange supply provide fuel. The chart just needs to deliver confirmation.