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The Truth of the Crypto Market: The Era of Shitcoins Is Over, Evolution Is the Only Way Forward

The Truth of the Crypto Market: The Era of Shitcoins Is Over, Evolution Is the Only Way Forward

BlockBeats2025/10/14 03:38
By: BlockBeats
BTC-2.15%SOL-2.83%BNB-6.10%
The player in the trenches understands the direction of liquidity. They grasp a simple truth: the era of a singular memecoin season is no more.
Original Article Title: No Altseason for People Who Refuse to Evolve
Original Article Author: hitesh.eth
Original Article Translation: Ding Dang, Odaily Planet Daily


This article may make many people uncomfortable. Most will be triggered at the halfway point and exit because the truth is always uncomfortable. But I'm not here to comfort anyone; I'm here to shatter illusions.


If you are still eagerly awaiting the "altseason," then you have already lost.


It has been nearly three years since the last cycle's bottom for Bitcoin (around the $15,000 to $20,000 range).


Three years is a long time for the crypto market.


During these three years, those who stubbornly held onto their previous investment portfolios are still deep in losses, many have already been mentally destroyed.


Countless tokens have never recovered, the narrative has died, the hype has faded, and liquidity has dried up.


For most, their investment portfolios have become a "graveyard of dreams." Only a few tokens, such as Solana and BNB, have truly delivered remarkable performances. Although Ethereum has seen some gains, it is far from enough to save those who bought in at the peak. Tokens like DOT and MATIC, considered "faith coins" in the previous cycle, are still experiencing continuous losses. Gaming tokens have essentially reached a state of "clinical death."


Those who believed in the narratives of the "metaverse" and "GameFi" can only watch as their capital slowly decays.


They are still "praying" as if faith can redeem them.


But it won't.


The Market's Differentiation: Old-School HODLers vs. the Rise of the New Era


Over the past three years, the market has split into two completely different paths.


The first group is the frozen-in-time HODLers. They believe without any basis that the market will eventually bounce back, and their coins will miraculously return to their all-time highs. They do not rotate assets, do not keep up with the times, do not study new market narratives, and do not learn on-chain skills. They just cling to worthless assets, waiting for a miracle. Worse still, many of them keep their coins on centralized exchanges. When exchanges like WazirX are hacked or withdrawals are frozen, they complain on Twitter but make no progress. Their only strategy is "hope." But hope is not a strategy; it is a slow financial suicide in the cryptocurrency world.


Another path belongs to the new generation of investors who have entered the scene in the past two to three years. They have no attachment to the old narratives and do not care about your 2020 investment portfolio. Their goal is singular: to make money in the market. They entered through two avenues—participating in airdrops and trading meme coins. They quickly embraced on-chain activities, daring to try new things. Some started from scratch, building their capital from the ground up. They are not lucky; they are hungry. They have learned how to front-run, how to rotate, and how to sell faster. While many have given back profits due to a lack of exit strategy, at least they are actively participating in the market, unlike those spectators who dare not leave centralized exchanges and remain timid on the sidelines.


The Truth of the Crypto Market: The Era of Shitcoins Is Over, Evolution Is the Only Way Forward image 0


Over the past three years, we have witnessed wave after wave of narratives: the Meme craze, the AI craze, the Meme+AI craze, the second Meme craze, the second AI craze, a brief DeFi craze, a buyback and burn craze, the ongoing privacy coin craze, the ICM craze, the AI Agent craze, and even the short-lived streamer coin craze. Market narratives have become fleeting, with crazes often dissipating within two weeks.


The lazy complain about market manipulation, while the wise adapt and survive through flexibility. This is not a market for "believers" but an arena for survivors.


Market Fragmentation: The End of the "Season of Altcoins"


Today, the market is highly fragmented, no longer a unified community but split into numerous "trenches." People are taking sides in their respective trenches: the Solana trench, the BNB trench, the Base trench, the Meme trench, the AI trench, the DeFi trench... Each trench has its own rhythm, insiders, leaders, information flow, and liquidity cycle. Players in the trench understand where the liquidity is flowing. They grasp a simple truth: The era of a singular "Altcoin Season" is no more.


This is because liquidity has splintered across different narratives, bridges, chains, and cultures. If you are not in a trench, you will perpetually miss the altcoin season, only seeing red candles and endless despair.


Those retail traders sitting outside the trenches are still waiting for some "macro switch" to be flipped, thinking it will bring their "dead coins" back to new highs. They log into exchanges every day, staring at the candlestick charts like addicts, shouting "enough" every week, yet repeating the same cycle. They are the most stubborn group in the entire industry. They are still posting price predictions for Link to $1000, DOT to $200, imagining a benevolent return of liquidity. They fail to realize that this market shows no mercy and has no memory.It does not care who waits the longest; it only rewards those who adapt the fastest.


The Truth of the Crypto Market: The Era of Shitcoins Is Over, Evolution Is the Only Way Forward image 1


「Alt Season」 Has Already Happened, It Just Didn't Happen to You


Alt Season has already taken place, you just missed it. It appeared in fragmented forms: within the Meme coin frenzy on Base, in Solana's rotations, in the side-chain mechanisms of airdrops, in the surge of early AI narratives, in the craze of token burns... These opportunities come and go in the blink of an eye, while you stare at the 2021 candlestick chart that's long gone. That was your choice. The market moves on, while you remain stagnant.


You pay attention to technical analysis streams that never really made money, use 50x leverage to gamble on tokens you don't understand, end up getting liquidated, then re-enter, get liquidated again, and repeat the cycle.


You call it bad luck? No, it's not a luck issue, it's a competence issue. Nothing will change until you acknowledge the truth. You're not "unlucky," you're just refusing to learn.


Many people reject new opportunities because they are entrenched in their own biases. When a new narrative emerges, they cry "scam" without even looking. When a new narrative unfolds, they ask "when airdrop" without reading the documentation. They see smart individuals rotating assets and mock them; then when these individuals flaunt their five-figure profits, they regret it. You can console yourself by claiming insider trading, but the truth is simpler: you're not being "played," you're being "roll-won."


Look at Zcash. It was one of the clearest trading opportunities of this cycle. A compelling narrative, strong backing, and natural community promotion. Naval openly talked about it at around $80. Regardless of your opinion of Naval, this signal cannot be ignored. When a respected voice aligns with a strong narrative, coupled with "thought leaders" like Mert promoting it daily, it's not noise, it's a clear playbook endorsed by builders.


The Truth of the Crypto Market: The Era of Shitcoins Is Over, Evolution Is the Only Way Forward image 2


But most people missed out because they don't research, read, understand the tech, or delve into details; they simply make superficial comparisons between Zcash and Monero. They're unwilling to try, directly dismissing opportunities. Because it's easier to deny the chance than to admit laziness by not doing the research.


Belief does not exist without effort. Those who don't learn don't deserve gains. Most lack the perseverance to hold. They dip their toes, pivot aimlessly, following one influencer after another like lost sheep. When real opportunities arise, they buy high, holding onto assets with the delusion of a hundredfold return foretold by someone's tweet. This isn't a strategy; it's financial suicide masked in ambition.


The market always shouts out exaggerated targets, but that is meaningless. They shout out inflated numbers just to drain your liquidity. "Greed bait" is the oldest trick in this game. If you are not mature enough to set your own exit plan, you will eventually throw back everything you have earned.


This is the iron rule. Those without discipline will always be destroyed by greed.


Ultimately, if you cannot hold onto your gains, you will lose everything. The market does not steal money from the weak—it is the weak who willingly offer up their money. Market makers do not steal your money; they only wait for you to self-destruct. Retail investors once had Bitcoin, now taken over by institutions. Retail investors once had faith, now only left with memes, fantasies, and unrealizable profit screenshots.


This game is not about who is the smartest but about who can evolve. If you do not learn, you are in decline; if you do not rotate, you are rotting; if you do not master on-chain skills, you are already obsolete. You do not need special talents or insider channels, but you must work hard. You need to read, track narratives, learn to exit, control emotions, take decisive actions—no hesitation, no begging, no waiting for permission.


The Truth of the Crypto Market: The Era of Shitcoins Is Over, Evolution Is the Only Way Forward image 3


Crypto is not difficult; people make it complex. They chase dopamine instead of discipline, crave hype rather than process, pursue luck rather than learning, expect returns rather than research. They are so eager for shortcuts that they never develop skills. This is why most people remain broke in a market that creates wealth every cycle.


Successful individuals are not chosen ones or lucky ones. They do not have inherent advantages. They just persist in learning every day while others are busy scrolling. They build systems while others chase noise. They act early while others are still debating. They exit cleanly while others pray for one more pump. They navigate every cycle because they adapt to every cycle.


If you are still waiting for the "altcoin season," you have already lost. This game has moved forward long ago. Either you evolve or you will be eliminated. No one is coming to save you. There is no "new bull market" that will magically fix your bad habits. Today, this market has only one rule: learn or be left behind.


Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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