Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to give an important speech on “Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy” at the NABE annual meeting today.
His address comes during a period of significant market instability, as investors look for clues about future US interest rates.
As of now, futures markets predict a 97% chance of a 25 basis point rate reduction in October, and an 89% chance of another one in December.
These predictions indicate wide-ranging expectations for monetary easing in response to signs of an economic downturn.
However, should Powell suggest that interest rates could stay high for an extended period, analysts caution that both traditional and crypto markets could experience renewed sell-offs.
Powell’s speech is happening amidst ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
Last week, President Donald Trump’s decision to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports led to a sharp drop in risk assets.
The U.S. government shutdown has postponed the release of crucial economic data, including consumer inflation and wholesale cost reports.
This leaves investors and policymakers with limited insight, raising the stakes for Powell’s remarks.
According to market analyst Ash Crypto, any indication of policy easing could improve sentiment and make risk assets bullish once more.
The crypto market is currently down by 4%, with Bitcoin valued at $111,000 at the time of writing.
Analysts mark $108,000-$110,000 for Bitcoin as a critical support zone.
A fall below these levels could trigger a new wave of cascade liquidations in leveraged positions.
Crypto expert 0xNobler noted that some high-level traders might be preparing for Powell to postpone or cancel rate cuts.
Despite the short-term volatility, analysts predict a market surge in the next few months, with many traders seeking the best penny crypto to explode.