Can you really lose what you have never touched? While the crypto universe wobbles, Satoshi Nakamoto remains a mystery. His wallet, inactive since 2010, just lost 20 billion dollars in a few days. Between extreme volatility and technological threats like quantum computing, a challenge emerges: how long can the creator of bitcoin keep his treasures intact?
On October 8, 2025, an announcement by Donald Trump reigniting the trade war with China triggered the largest liquidation in crypto history. Markets gave way, altcoins fell up to –99%. Bitcoin lost nearly 20,000 dollars in 48 hours. Yet despite the storm, Satoshi Nakamoto did not move. His 1.1 million BTC remained dormant. The value? Dropped from 138 to 117 billion dollars, a loss of 20 billion dollars .
Analyst Arkham Intelligence revealed that some actors took advantage of the crisis: a trader pocketed 192 million dollars from a short position on Hyperliquid. And while the whales danced, small holders were liquidated.
For many, Nakamoto’s lack of reaction is a message. But which one? Philosophy? Inaccessibility of private keys? Or simple disinterest? One thing is certain: in the storm, his silence intrigues as much as it reassures.
On Coinglass, the counter shows nearly 19.3 billion dollars of positions gone up in smoke. Polymarket, the crypto betting platform, saw hopes fade: the chances that Satoshi would move his funds in 2025 dropped from 15% to 6%. Tweets are buzzing. Fear infects even the most optimistic.
The Kobeissi Letter specified :
A technical correction was overdue, we think a trade deal will be reached, and crypto remains strong. We are bullish.
Altcoins like GMX, Pendle or Ondo turn into speculative playgrounds. Some make big gains, others collapse. Volatility becomes the only constant. Yet Nakamoto does not respond. He continues to embody a silent figure, watched, fantasized about.
The fortune of Satoshi Nakamoto seems untouchable. But for how long? Quantum computing, capable of breaking some cryptographic protections, worries experts. If one day a computer decrypted Nakamoto’s private keys, his 1.1 million bitcoins could disappear forever.
Recently, Arkham Intelligence detected micro-transfers to Satoshi’s original address: dust amounts of bitcoins, sometimes from wallets like CoinJoin or Revolut. Minimal gestures, but they raise questions about the myth’s longevity.
His wallet does not move. But speculation around his silence is exploding.
Even experienced traders can lose everything. James Wynn, a crypto market figure, was liquidated for 48 million dollars . Proving that absence costs nothing. But action can ruin everything.