On October 26, 2025,
This surge signals a broader change in market sentiment, especially as global financial conditions improve and economic uncertainties diminish. ZEC’s recent gains seem to be driven by both speculative trading and a renewed evaluation of its place within the crypto landscape. The notable 24-hour spike marks a pivotal moment, particularly when compared to ZEC’s historical performance trends.
Technical analysis points to the likelihood of continued gains in the short term. Both short- and long-term moving averages are trending with the current price movement, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains at a robust level, showing strong buying interest without yet indicating an overbought market. These factors suggest that the ongoing rally is being fueled by both price momentum and wider market forces.
Backtest Hypothesis
To further assess the viability of a trading strategy based on ZEC’s recent activity, an event-driven backtest can be designed using these criteria:
1. Ticker(s): ZEC
2. Event definition: Any day when ZEC’s daily close-to-close return is at least +15%.
3. Price type to monitor: Closing price
4. Holding-period settings: Hold the position for 30 days after the event, with no stop-loss or take-profit applied.
By pinpointing each occurrence where ZEC achieved a daily return of 15% or more, the backtest will evaluate the results of holding a simulated position for 30 days from each event. This method aims to determine if the 15% daily gain serves as a reliable technical signal for further upside. The analysis will cover the period from January 1, 2022, through October 26, 2025, to gauge consistency over time.
The findings from this backtest may offer important perspectives on how ZEC reacts to sharp price increases, helping to confirm or refute the idea that such events can consistently lead to additional gains.