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Ethereum News Update: The Future Direction of Ethereum Hinges on Federal Reserve Rate Reductions and Accommodative Policy Signals

Ethereum News Update: The Future Direction of Ethereum Hinges on Federal Reserve Rate Reductions and Accommodative Policy Signals

Bitget-RWA2025/10/30 10:56
By: Bitget-RWA
- Ethereum reclaims $4,000 as investors await Fed's rate decision, with Polymarket pricing 98% chance of 25-basis-point cut. - Analysts highlight Fed's QT exit and statement tone as critical factors shaping crypto's 3-6 month trajectory. - Technical indicators show mixed signals: RSI cooldown vs. $1,000 gap in moving averages and $4,200 resistance. - A 50-basis-point cut could trigger parabolic ETH rally, while 25-basis-point cut may sustain measured uptrend.

Ethereum has recently climbed back above the $4,000 mark, reigniting investor enthusiasm as the Federal Reserve prepares to announce its next interest rate decision. This rebound comes after two days of holding steady above this significant price point. However, experts warn that the overall market response will largely depend on the Fed's forthcoming policy statement, as highlighted in a

. According to Polymarket, traders are assigning a 98% chance to a 25 basis point rate reduction, though some analysts believe that the latest economic indicators justify a more substantial 50 basis point cut, which could fuel a stronger surge in cryptocurrency prices. Historically, Polymarket's forecasts have proven reliable, intensifying anticipation for the central bank's verdict.

Investors are paying close attention not only to the size of the rate cut but also to any signals about the conclusion of quantitative tightening (QT) and the language used in the Fed's statement. Analysts suggest these elements will be crucial in determining the direction of digital asset prices in the coming months. "Should the Fed hint at a more accommodative stance,

may take the lead," one strategist commented, referencing the typical progression of BTC→ETH→other assets during bullish phases. BlackRock's recent positive outlook on Ethereum further highlights the increasing institutional trust in the cryptocurrency.

Ethereum News Update: The Future Direction of Ethereum Hinges on Federal Reserve Rate Reductions and Accommodative Policy Signals image 0

Technical indicators present a mixed picture. On the weekly timeframe, Ethereum's RSI has moderated after a period of heightened volatility, while moving averages are still $1,000 below the current price, pointing to robust buying activity. Despite this, Ethereum remains under its 2021 record high, forming a resistance level that, if surpassed, could spark a rapid upward move. On the daily chart, Ethereum spent much of last week trading below $4,000, with recent momentum lifting it above that barrier but encountering strong resistance at $4,200, which now serves as both a key resistance and the 50-day moving average.

The direction of the market will likely be determined by how accommodative the Fed's policy shift is perceived to be. A 50 basis point reduction could propel Ethereum higher at a faster pace, while a 25 basis point cut might lead to a steadier climb. Traders are also closely watching BlackRock's Ethereum ETF approach and broader economic signals for further guidance.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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