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CryptoQuant CEO: The Bitcoin cycle pattern may have ended, and the current price weakness is due to insufficient demand

CryptoQuant CEO: The Bitcoin cycle pattern may have ended, and the current price weakness is due to insufficient demand

Chaincatcher2025/11/03 05:30

ChainCatcher News, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju shared a series of on-chain data about Bitcoin and expressed the following main analytical viewpoints: 1. The unrealized profits of whales are not extremely high. This could mean one of two things: "The hype hasn't arrived yet—we are still far from euphoric sentiment." Or, "This time is different—the market is too large to allow for excessively high profit margins." 2. Bitcoin's hashrate continues to hit new highs (about 5.96 million ASIC miners online). Publicly listed mining companies are expanding rather than downsizing, which is a clear long-term bullish signal.

3. The current demand is mainly driven by ETF and MicroStrategy, but buying activity from these two channels has slowed down recently. If these two channels resume growth, market momentum may reappear. 4. Short-term whales over the past six months (mainly ETFs) are close to breakeven. Long-term whales have realized about 53% profit. In the past, the market showed a clear four-year cyclical fluctuation, with accumulation and distribution between retail and whale investors. Now, it is more difficult to predict where and at what scale new liquidity will flow in, making it less likely for Bitcoin to follow the same cyclical pattern again.

5. The average cost of Bitcoin wallets is $55,900, which means holders are on average about 93% profitable. The realized market cap continues to rise (an increase of $800 million this week), indicating that on-chain capital inflows remain strong. The price increase is not due to selling pressure, but rather due to weak demand.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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