Bitcoin continues to encounter strong downward pressure as both technical signals and market conditions point toward additional declines, recent reports suggest. The digital asset, which has been trading close to $92,000, could see a drop of 10% to $83,111 if selling activity surpasses buying interest, with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator
signaling a sell trend since November 3
. At the same time,
Ethereum
and
XRP
are holding onto crucial support levels at $3,000 and $2.00, but their technical outlooks remain fragile, as both are trading beneath important moving averages and
their RSI values are nearing oversold conditions
.
The latest activity in crypto Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) highlights the market's fragile sentiment.
Bitcoin
ETFs recorded modest inflows of $74 million on Wednesday, marking a rare positive after five consecutive days of outflows, but
total assets have fallen to $122.29 billion
from $170 billion since October 6. In comparison, Ethereum ETFs have seen ongoing withdrawals, with $37 million leaving on Wednesday alone,
casting doubt on a sustained move above $3,000
. The derivatives market for XRP remains muted, with Open Interest (OI) averaging $3.79 billion—a decrease from $3.85 billion the day before,
underscoring the token's vulnerability to further losses
if risk-averse sentiment continues.
Technical failures are adding to the negative outlook. Bitcoin is trading well below its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs),
creating a weakening trendline
that could drive prices under $80,000 if the $83,000 support does not hold. Ethereum's Death Cross—where the 50-day EMA moves below the 200-day EMA—
strengthens the bearish perspective
, with the RSI close to oversold and a possible decline to $2,632 on the horizon. XRP, trading under its 50-day EMA at $2.38,
is facing major resistance at $2.52
, and a break below the $2.07–$2.10 support range could prompt a test of $1.90.
Broader economic factors are intensifying the downward trend. Uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s rate decision in December has reduced risk appetite, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing just an 81% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. This caution has led to a wider sell-off in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies,
as investors prepare for an extended period of high interest rates
. On-chain data also shows significant ETF outflows and increased deposits to exchanges,
with Binance’s BTC holdings rising above 580,000 coins
as large holders and long-term investors reduce their positions.
Looking forward, the outlook for Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies remains uncertain. A daily close above $92,000 could offer temporary relief, but ongoing institutional risk reduction and technical weaknesses point to further consolidation below $90,000. For Ethereum and XRP, defending key support levels is essential to prevent deeper losses, while greater macroeconomic certainty and renewed ETF inflows will be vital for a lasting recovery.