On November 6, 2025, Zcash (ZEC) underwent its third halving event, a significant milestone for the privacy-centric cryptocurrency. This process halved the block reward, sparking a remarkable 1,172% year-to-date price increase, with ZEC reaching $589. The event has heightened attention on how limited supply and growing institutional involvement are shaping Zcash’s price trajectory. For those investing in ZEC, it’s essential to grasp the complex relationship between its deflationary design, privacy technology, and shifting regulatory environment.
The 2025 halving reduced Zcash’s block reward from 3.125 ZEC to 1.5625 ZEC per block, bringing annual inflation down to about 4%. This mirrors Bitcoin’s scarcity approach but is further complicated by Zcash’s dual-address system, which lets users opt for either transparent or shielded transactions using advanced zero-knowledge proofs (zk-SNARKs). By late 2025, between 28% and 30% of all ZEC was held in shielded addresses, highlighting increased demand for privacy and reducing the amount of ZEC visible on-chain.
This dual system creates a unique market dynamic: while lower issuance increases scarcity, shielded transactions obscure the actual circulating supply, which can distort price signals and heighten volatility. Historical trends reinforce this pattern—after the 2020 halving, ZEC climbed 500%, and the 2024 halving was followed by a 92% surge in the last quarter of that year. The 2025 halving triggered an extraordinary 24% single-day jump to $641.49, followed by a 35% pullback, illustrating the influence of speculation and institutional entry on price swings.
Institutional interest has played a pivotal role in Zcash’s recent growth. The Grayscale Zcash Trust, which oversees $137 million in assets, has become a major vehicle for institutional exposure. Cypherpunk Technologies acquired 5% of the total ZEC supply, and Reliance Global Group shifted its entire digital asset holdings into ZEC, citing its privacy features that are compatible with regulatory requirements. Zcash’s partial move to a proof-of-stake model in October 2025 also aligned it with ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) standards, attracting sustainability-minded investors.
Clearer regulatory guidelines have further strengthened market confidence. The U.S. Clarity Act and Genius Act established a legal foundation for privacy coins, while Grayscale’s proposal for a Zcash ETF (ticker: ZCSH) signaled growing institutional appetite for regulated investment products. Zcash’s relisting on OKX, following a previous delisting, coincided with a 1,200% price rally, reflecting improved acceptance. Nonetheless, European regulators remain wary, and new anti-money laundering rules could pose delisting risks, highlighting regional differences in regulatory approaches.
The rise of shielded ZEC holdings—now totaling 4.9 million coins, or 30% of the supply—has prompted institutions to rethink their trading strategies. The preference for selective privacy, fueled by advances in zero-knowledge technology and ongoing regulatory uncertainty, has reduced the amount of ZEC available for transparent trading. This shift has forced institutions to adapt to a market with less visible liquidity. Notably, Arthur Hayes’ endorsement of “shielded liquidity” strategies has driven a 560% increase in fee revenue and reshaped market behavior.
For investors, these changes mean that Zcash’s price is now influenced not only by supply reductions but also by the balance between shielded and transparent transactions. This complexity introduces both new opportunities and risks, as institutions weigh the benefits of privacy against the challenges of reduced tradability.
The next halving, anticipated in late 2028, will further decrease block rewards to 0.78125 ZEC, tightening supply even more and potentially supporting price stability. However, Zcash must navigate ongoing regulatory scrutiny of shielded transactions and competition from new privacy-focused cryptocurrencies. Institutional investors will need to consider these challenges alongside Zcash’s core advantages of limited supply and robust privacy features.
At present, Zcash’s post-halving performance points to a maturing asset. As institutional demand grows and regulatory clarity improves, ZEC may increasingly be viewed as a “stealth Bitcoin”—offering a distinctive combination of scarcity, privacy, and institutional-grade infrastructure.