On November 26, Avalanche (AVAX) experienced a 6.7% jump, reaching $14.95 and surpassing the $15.50 resistance level. This upward movement suggests a possible short-term rally, supported by technical signals indicating the asset was oversold. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 26.67, a figure often linked to market bottoms in the past.
Experts from Blockchain.News anticipate that AVAX could climb into the $16 to $19 range within the next month. This outlook is fueled by waning bearish momentum and growing institutional trust in Avalanche’s blockchain technology.
The recent price increase was sparked by a significant event: the European Union’s approval of Securitize’s tokenized trading platform on Avalanche. This milestone paves the way for regulated digital securities to be traded across Europe, strengthening institutional interest. Tom Murphy from Securitize emphasized the platform’s transformative impact on global finance. Additionally, Bitwise Asset Management’s updated proposal for a spot Avalanche ETF (ticker: BAVA) has contributed to the bullish sentiment. The ETF will follow the CME CF Avalanche-Dollar Reference Rate and offer staking rewards, with a management fee of 0.34%—waived for the first month or until assets reach $500 million.
Technical analysis highlights AVAX’s proximity to the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $16.08, a crucial resistance point. If AVAX can maintain a position above this level, analysts at AMB Crypto believe it could attract further buying, potentially pushing the price toward $19.01. On the other hand, a drop below the $12.57 support zone could validate bearish expectations and lead to a decline toward $8.52. Trading activity remains robust, with Binance reporting a 24-hour volume of $86.4 million, although volatility is elevated, as shown by a daily ATR of $1.39.
The altcoin market is currently mixed. While Grayscale and Franklin Templeton’s XRP and DOGE ETFs have seen capital inflows, Bitcoin ETFs experienced record outflows of $3.79 billion in November, putting pressure on both BTC and altcoin prices. Despite this, AVAX has outperformed, posting a 17% weekly gain, in contrast to Bitcoin’s nearly 6.4% decline below $85,000. The recent wave of ETF approvals and increased institutional involvement underscore a rising demand for regulated crypto investments, especially in projects with strong utility and regulatory compliance.
AVAX’s ability to reach $19.00 will depend on broader market stability and ongoing institutional adoption. With Bitwise’s Avalanche ETF awaiting SEC approval and Securitize’s EU launch progressing, Avalanche is positioning itself as a key link between traditional finance and blockchain innovation. As of November 26, AVAX’s 7.2% weekly increase reflects growing optimism in its potential to benefit from regulatory and institutional support.