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$ETH – Only two levels matter: $3,000 and $4,000. Historically, ETH gains momentum once it reclaims $3K (i.e. reaching $4k within weeks). I think being long on ETH is the play atm: 1️⃣ Market cycles often see capital rotate from BTC into ETH after BTC leads with strong upside. 2️⃣ Spot ETH ETFs have now recorded 8 consecutive days of net inflows, including $192M on July 15, led by BlackRock’s ETHA. 3️⃣ A 14-day streak earlier this year pushed YTD inflows above $3B - a sign of sustained institutional demand. 4️⃣The Genius Act could let investors hold ETH in retirement accounts - encouraging long-term, tax-efficient holding. This is a structurally bullish setup with rising inflows, policy tailwinds, and capital rotation supporting a move toward $4K.

The “Mysterious Whale” @AguilaTrades has flipped the script, shutting down their 20x leveraged $BTC short position and diving into a 20x long position with a massive 4,000 $BTC, worth $475 million. They’re already sitting on a $2.85 million floating profit, riding Bitcoin’s momentum like a pro. What do you think—is this whale’s bold pivot a sign they’ve nailed the market turn, or are they gambling big on a shaky trend?

📊 Technical Indicators to Track $ES Momentum (Applicable to the S&P 500 E-mini Futures or tokens like $ES if you're referring to a specific crypto project — clarify if needed.) Tracking momentum for $ES requires a solid technical toolkit. Below are the top momentum-based indicators and how to use them effectively to anticipate moves, confirm trends, and avoid false signals. 🔧 1. Relative Strength Index (RSI) Measures: Speed and change of price movements. Settings: Standard 14-period (can adjust to 7 or 21 for faster/slower signals). How to Use: RSI > 70 = Overbought → momentum might slow or reverse RSI < 30 = Oversold → potential rebound zone 50 line = Momentum line; above = bullish, below = bearish 🔹 Momentum Signal: Bullish divergence (price low, RSI higher low) = strong reversal sign RSI crossing above 50 from below = positive momentum shift 🔧 2. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Measures: Trend strength and momentum shifts Settings: 12, 26, 9 (default) How to Use: MACD line > Signal line = bullish momentum MACD line < Signal line = bearish momentum Histogram = momentum strength (growing bars = strong trend) 🔹 Momentum Signal: MACD crossover below zero = strong bullish swing setup Divergence between MACD and price = possible trend exhaustion 🔧 3. Rate of Change (ROC) Measures: % change in price over a fixed period How to Use: ROC > 0 and rising = accelerating bullish momentum ROC < 0 and falling = bearish momentum ROC crossing 0 = trend reversal 🔧 4. Average Directional Index (ADX) Measures: Strength of a trend (not direction) Settings: 14-period How to Use: ADX > 25 = Strong trend (regardless of direction) ADX < 20 = Weak or sideways market Combine with DI+ and DI− lines to determine direction 🔧 5. Stochastic RSI (StochRSI) Measures: RSI momentum, more sensitive than traditional RSI How to Use: Overbought > 0.80 = slowing bullish momentum Oversold < 0.20 = slowing bearish momentum Crossovers = entry/exit points (like a refined RSI) 🔧 6. Momentum Indicator (MTM) Formula: Price today – Price N days ago Use: Values > 0 = bullish Values < 0 = bearish Sharp spikes = strong momentum moves likely 🧠 How to Use Momentum Indicators Together ScenarioConfirmationRSI above 50 + MACD crossoverStrong bullish signalMACD bearish + RSI divergenceWeakening bullish trendADX > 25 + ROC risingMomentum and trend both strongAll indicators flat/neutralWait for breakout or reversal 🕵️‍♂️ Tips for Interpreting $ES Momentum Combine with Volume: Momentum without volume = likely fakeout Check Higher Timeframes: Use 4H and Daily to confirm trend health Use in Trend Context: Momentum tools work best within existing trend patterns 📌 Summary IndicatorTracksBest Use CaseRSIOverbought/OversoldEntry/exit & divergence spottingMACDTrend momentumCrossover signalsROCSpeed of price moveBreakout confirmationADXTrend strengthFilter out choppy tradesStochRSIRSI speedIntraday timing and entries

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