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#BTC Bitcoin just needs one Daily Close and successful post-reclaim retest of ~$117200 (green circle) to confirm a return into this blue-blue Daily range $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin

XRP holds $3.00, reflecting the calm in the crypto market ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Bloomberg's James Seyffart hints at REX-Osprey XRP ETF launch this week. XRP is still at risk of extending declines below the $3.00 level if macro factors fail to support a bullish outcome. Ripple (XRP) upholds a bullish picture trading at around $3.045 on Tuesday, as market participants await the United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision this Wednesday.  The consensus is that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00 to 4.25%, amid growing optimism for a 50 bps cut. A rate cut could support the crypto market's bullish outlook in the fourth quarter, as investors seek exposure to riskier assets such as crypto and equities. Could XRP rally as XRP ETF launch debuts? The REX-Osprey XRP Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is expected to start trading in the US this week, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart said via X on Monday. Following the launch, investors in the traditional market will, for the first time in the US, have spot exposure to XRP.  The ETF, expected to trade under the ticker XRPR, differs from Bitcoin and ETH spot ETFs as it provides exposure to the underlying asset's spot price by holding XRP and other XRP ETF products listed globally. "The fund documents also have language that would allow derivatives usage for exposure if needed but that definitely isn't the primary exposure method," Seyffart stated. REX Shares, the company behind the XRPR ETF, did not specify the launch date; however, Seyffart stated that the product could start trading this Thursday, alongside Dogecoin's DOJE ETF, which is also supported by the same entity. Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs are playing a fundamental role in the cryptocurrency market, allowing direct exposure to the two largest digital assets by market capitalization for traditional investors on stock exchanges.  Inflows in BTC and ETH ETFs have fueled price surges in both assets, reflecting increasing demand. Hence, the launch of the XRPR ETF could drive interest in the cross-border money remittance token, possibly fuelling the next run-up to new all-time highs above the $3.66 reached on July 18. Technical outlook: XRP eyes bullish breakout  XRP remains above $3.00 at the time of writing on Tuesday, supported by a descending trendline and the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.944. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently rebounding at 54 after testing the midline, supports a scenario where bullish momentum builds ahead of a breakout toward the record high of $3.66. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator backs XRP's bullish case, maintaining a buy signal since September 8. Investors will consider increasing their exposure to XRP with the blue MACD line remaining above the red signal line. Besides the XRPR ETF, the Fed interest rate decision this Wednesday could shape the outlook of the broader cryptocurrency market. A rate cut would boost risk-on sentiment for digital assets, including XRP.  If market dynamics shift to the bearish side and the price of XRP slips below the $3.00 level, the 50-day EMA at $2.944, the 100-day EMA at $2.817 and the support tested at $2.695 on September 1 would be in line to absorb the selling pressure. $XRP

TOTALES with a beautiful breakout and retest on the RSI Crypto is ready to go blue sky 🚀

1️⃣Market Structure and Current Price Action $SWTCH SWTCHUSDT is currently trading around 0.126, showing signs of consolidation after a recent retracement from local highs near 0.14. The market structure indicates a series of higher lows being formed, with price attempting to stabilize above the 0.123 key level. This level has been highlighted by both historical price reaction and Fibonacci confluence, suggesting a strong support area. The short-term candlestick formations indicate selling pressure, but buyers continue to defend the lower zone, hinting at an accumulation phase before the next impulse move. 2️⃣Support and Resistance Levels The immediate support lies around 0.123, marked by recent wick rejections and acting as a pivot zone for buyers. If this level fails, the next downside support can be observed near 0.106, which served as a base during previous consolidation phases. On the upside, the initial resistance is located around 0.140, where price faced rejection multiple times. A breakout above this resistance could open the path toward 0.150, a psychological and technical barrier. Should momentum continue, an extended move toward 0.165–0.170 remains possible, aligning with the upper Fibonacci extension zone. Fibonacci and Momentum Analysis The Fibonacci extension tool highlights a corrective pullback into the 0.5 retracement level, suggesting price is testing equilibrium before another directional move. A clean rebound from this zone favors bullish continuation. The Stochastic RSI is currently positioned around the mid-range (30–40), showing that momentum has cooled but is not yet oversold. This signals potential for renewed upside if buying pressure builds. The chop zone indicator reflects earlier indecision, but a dominant light blue sequence indicates increasing directional bias, supporting a possible breakout attempt if volume confirms. 3️⃣Fundamental Backdrop On the fundamental side, SWTCH remains in an emerging ecosystem where developments in adoption, utility expansion, and project partnerships are key drivers of sentiment. Broader crypto market conditions also play a role, with risk appetite in digital assets fluctuating based on macroeconomic indicators and investor behavior. Recent market-wide stability in Bitcoin and Ethereum offers a supportive environment for mid-cap and low-cap tokens to attract speculative flows. Additionally, SWTCH’s unique positioning in its sector contributes to a narrative-driven appeal, which could fuel demand if broader investor interest grows. 4️⃣Market Psychology and Investor Behavior Market participants appear to be watching the 0.123 support closely, as failure to defend it could shift sentiment bearish in the short term. Conversely, repeated defenses of this level will strengthen the psychological conviction of buyers, potentially triggering a short squeeze if sellers overextend. The price rejection from 0.14 reflects hesitation among investors, yet consistent higher lows point to underlying demand. Traders may be balancing short-term profit-taking against expectations of a breakout toward the 0.150–0.170 range. Risk Factors and Potential Scenarios✅ The downside risk remains if price breaks below 0.123 decisively, as this would open a move back toward 0.106, erasing recent gains and signaling a deeper correction. Macro headwinds such as broader crypto market volatility, regulatory uncertainties, or reduced liquidity could amplify such a move. On the upside, if buyers reclaim 0.140 with volume support, price action could shift into a trending phase, aiming for the 0.150 and higher Fibonacci targets. Traders should remain cautious of false breakouts, particularly in low-liquidity sessions. Outlook and Strategic Considerations Overall, SWTCHUSDT is positioned at a decisive juncture. Technicals suggest accumulation near support, while momentum indicators hint at potential upside if buyers remain active. The fundamental landscape provides room for growth, though market volatility requires careful monitoring. A conservative strategy involves waiting for confirmation above 0.140 before positioning for a move toward 0.150–0.170. Alternatively, aggressive traders may accumulate near 0.123 with a tight stop below 0.106, aiming to capture the expected breakout. Risk management remains essential given the asset’s volatility profile.