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I’ve been watching $OPEN $OPEN through the recent impulse and consolidation. The short-term structure is a disciplined retest into a shallow demand shelf after a strong listing leg; defined gates give clear R:R if you respect the MA cluster and the green demand band. Below I map preferred entries, failure conditions and defensive exits. 📊 Market snapshot Last close: 0.84662 Session high / low: 0.85351 / 0.83775 MA cluster: 0.8535 / 0.8800 / 0.8991 (dynamic reference). Recent volume bar: 5.46M (watch for continuation spikes) Accum/Dist: 110.42K (sharp outflow then partial recovery) RSI: 25.33 (oversold) MACD: −0.0177 / −0.0301 (bearish grouping) ATR (intraday): 0.02962 On-chain & fundamentals OPEN functions as the token tied to the OpenLedger/DEX ecosystem — utility centers on trading/liquidity, node/provider incentives and exchange integrations. Recent listing and exchange-driven flows remain the primary short-term bid; longer-term support requires renewed activity in the DEX and staking/locking behavior to reduce float. Concentrated post-listing float increases volatility and amplifies headlines. Sentiment & liquidity Sentiment is cautious-to-bearish: heavy profit-taking since the impulse leg left stacked asks above the swing. Books are relatively thin intraday, so low-volume pushes produce sharp moves and reverts. The Accum/Dist spike shows recent distribution then a small rebound — monitor exchange inflows and large-wallet behavior closely. Staking/locking would be constructive; continued exchange inflows keep the risk of rapid fades high. ⚙️ Trade structure & key levels Immediate resistance / supply band (local): ~0.95–1.17 (weak high ~1.1668) Near-term dynamic resistance: MA cluster ~0.85–0.90 Near-term support / demand shelf: ~0.83–0.85 (current retest band) Major invalidation: decisive breakdown below ~0.78–0.80 (deeper buyer shelf) These levels create a defined-levels trade: clear targets on the upside and explicit invalidation below the major shelf. 📝 Trade plan (pick one) A) Pullback Starter (preferred — higher R:R) Condition: price retests the demand shelf / MA cluster (~0.83–0.85) and prints a clear rejection wick with buy-volume. Entry: limit at wick low; ladder 50/50 across the band (VWAP/MA edge then confirmation). Stop: 1.5× ATR below entry → 1.5 × 0.02962 = 0.04443 stop distance. Targets: trim partial at the MA cluster / near local resistance (~0.95) → extend remaining toward the weak high on clean supply acceptance. B) Breakout / Add (smaller size) Condition: two-candle acceptance above local supply band (near 0.95–1.17) with session volume above recent bars. Entry: small starter position; add on successful retest / two-bar confirmation. Stop: 1.5× ATR beneath the breakout pivot. Note: distribution risk remains if exchange flows don’t turn constructive — keep adds disciplined. C) Defensive / Quick Flip Condition: rapid rejection at the demand shelf + Accum/Dist rollover or RSI failure to lift. Action: lock profits, lower size; consider shorts only if breakdown below ~0.78 is accompanied by rising sell volume and clean book liquidity to the downside. Targets on fail: 0.78 → deeper shelf; stop back above the pivot. 💰 Position sizing example (practical) Assume account = $10,000, risk = 1% = $100. Stop distance = 1.5×ATR = 0.04443. Size (units) = Risk / Stop distance = 100 ÷ 0.04443 ≈ 2,251 OPEN. Approx entry cost at 0.84662 × 2,251 ≈ $1,905. Notes: ATR is large relative to price and book depth is thin — prefer a smaller starter (0.5% risk) or scale in to reduce slippage exposure. 🔔 Live monitor / alerts (what to watch) Volume: continuation candles above the recent 5.46M bar confirm conviction; weak volume = likely fade. Accum/Dist: renewed accumulation would reduce distribution risk; fresh outflows warn of further downside. RSI & MACD: watch for RSI recovery above 35–40 and MACD flattening → early sign of absorption. Orderbook: look for stacked asks 0.95–1.17 and bids around 0.83–0.80; thin-book slippage risk is real. Takeaway / rules of engagement I’m not chasing headline-driven strength through stacked supply. My play is a measured retest into the MA/demand cluster (~0.83–0.85), using ATR-based stops (1.5×) and modest size. If $OPEN clears local supply with clean volume and on-chain/exchange flows shift to net accumulation, I scale on confirmation and target the weak-high zone. If price breaks down below the major shelf with rising volume, treat it as structural failure and step aside or flip defensively. Final rule: keep sizes small in thin books, trim into the first visible supply, and move stops to breakeven after initial partial profits.

$OPEN has been consolidating after a steep correction and is now trading near $0.86. The price recently tested a critical support zone around $0.83–$0.85, where buyers stepped in to prevent further downside. This region has acted as a short-term demand zone, and the RSI also reflects an oversold condition, signaling possible recovery momentum. $OPEN 1H chart The chart structure highlights that if the price manages to sustain above this support and break through the immediate resistance at $0.95, a potential rally towards $1.06 could unfold. A confirmed breakout above this level would strengthen bullish sentiment, possibly opening the path toward the next key resistance at $1.17. On the flip side, failure to hold current levels could expose $OPEN to a retest of the $0.80 zone. For now, traders should closely monitor the breakout levels, as this structure appears to be forming a short-term reversal pattern. Overall, $OPEN is at a decisive stage. A breakout from here could trigger a sharp upside move, while rejection might extend the consolidation phase.

Bitcoin breaks below $115,000, buoyed by steady ETF inflows and growing optimism ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision. Ethereum shows short-term weakness, sliding below $4,600 amid potential profit-taking. XRP pulls back to test a descending trendline support, reflecting growing volatility in the broader crypto market. Bitcoin (BTC) pauses last week's steady uptrend, declining below $115,000 on Monday. The pullback in the price of BTC is sending subtle shockwaves across the cryptocurrency market, with Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) front-running the correction in altcoins. Data spotlight: Bitcoin regains institutional interest Institutional interest in Bitcoin (BTC) has stabilized over the past week, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) in the United States (US) experiencing steady inflows. According to SoSoValue data, BTC ETFs saw $2.34 billion in inflows last week, bringing the cumulative total inflow volume to $56.83 billion. Total net assets currently average at approximately $153 billion. As for Ethereum, spot ETFs in the US gained momentum last week, with approximately $638 million flowing in, as shown in the chart below. Ethereum ETFs boast a cumulative total net inflow volume of slightly above $13 billion and total net assets of $30 billion. As for XRP, retail demand for the token remains relatively high with the futures Open Interest (OI) averaging $8.7 billion on Monday. Due to the ongoing correction and traders' repositioning, the OI, which refers to the notional value of outstanding futures contracts, is down slightly from $8.95 billion recorded on Sunday. Following the significant gains of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP last week, traders appear to be taking profits and repositioning themselves ahead of the highly anticipated US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday is expected to cut interest rates – a move that would match general market expectations. There is a 94.2% chance that the Fed will cut rates by a 0.25 percentage point to a range of 4.00% to 4.25%, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. The rest of the market expects a 0.50 percentage point cut. Currently, interest rates in the US range between 4.25% and 4.50%. Lower interest rates are expected to increase interest in riskier assets, such as equities and cryptocurrencies. Therefore, a rate cut could launch the crypto market into a bullish fourth quarter. Chart of the day: Bitcoin trims gains as volatility spikes Bitcoin price holds below $115,000 at the time of writing on Monday, marking a cooldown from last week's steady uptrend above the $116,000 level. Short-term technical analysis suggests that choppy market conditions will continue ahead of the Fed interest rate decision. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) declining to 55 on the daily chart highlights easing bullish momentum. However, an upturn toward overbought territory would confirm Bitcoin's bullish potential for a breakout above the $120,000 level. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator suggests that bulls still have the upper hand. With the blue MACD line remaining above the signal line, bullish momentum is likely to gain traction in the coming days. Still, if profit-taking continues, triggering volatility, traders would look toward the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $113,423 and the 100-day EMA at $111,293 for potential support. Altcoins update: Ethereum, XRP ease gains Ethereum holds slightly above $4,500 amid a spike in volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market on Monday. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 55 backs the pullback as it declines toward the midline. Despite the short-term bearish outlook, traders should temper their bearish expectations, considering the MACD indicator maintains a bullish outlook with the blue line above the red signal line. If the situation worsens and supply outstrips demand, it would be prudent to shift focus to the 50-day EMA at $4,187 as the next tentative support level. As for XRP, the current correction from last week's peak of $3.186 is testing a key descending trendline that has become support. The decline in the RSI, which is holding at 50 after peaking at 60 on Saturday, shows a reduction in bullish momentum. If the decline extends further below the midline, the path of least resistance could remain downward, increasing the chances of the XRP price trading below the 50-day EMA at $2.94. The 100-day EMA at $2.813 and the 200-day EMA at $2.565 are positioned to absorb the potential selling pressure in case investors aggressively reduce their exposure. $BTC $ETH $XRP

$BTC has rallied nearly 6% in September, defying its bearish seasonality. After a strong weekly performance, the asset topped near a major supply zone between $115,600 and $117,300. A decisive close above $117,300 would signal a potential push toward new highs. With the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and expectations of interest rate cuts on Wednesday, Bitcoin is undergoing a mild correction on Monday, dipping below $114,500. Analysis suggests this dip could present a favorable buying opportunity. From a technical perspective, the critical retest zone sits between $111,000 and $113,000. This mirrors the structure observed in Q2. In June, BTC rallied from sub-$100,000 lows to $109,000, consolidating just below the $110,000 resistance. After an initial rejection, the market absorbed liquidity near $105,000 before breaking out to fresh highs in July above $120,000. Bitcoin one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView A similar pattern appears to be developing now. If the current uptrend is to remain intact, Bitcoin should hold the $111,000–$113,000 range. A deviation below this level would weaken the bullish case, while stability here could confirm another structural breakout. The relative strength index (RSI) also aligns with this view, having reclaimed the 50 level and now testing it as support. Historically, this setup has preceded renewed buying momentum, as witnessed in June. Crypto analyst ShayanBTC noted that miner behavior is reinforcing the constructive outlook, “The combination of a technical structure shift and miner accumulation provides a constructive outlook. As long as $112K holds, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to sustain momentum.” “Fresh” Bitcoin investors have arrived, says analyst One reason the $113,000 zone could be a technical support is the URPD (UTXO realized price distribution) metric, which maps the distribution of Bitcoin supply by purchase price. According to recent data, a significant 5.5% of BTC supply has shifted at $110,000–$113,000, highlighting this band as one of the most actively accumulated ranges in recent weeks. Bitcoin UTXO realized price distribution chart. Source: Glassnode In other words, a substantial base of holders has positioned themselves here, suggesting conviction that the level represents long-term value. This accumulation trend is further reinforced by the behavior of wallet cohorts. Since July 2024, Shark wallets (holding 100–1,000 BTC) have added nearly 1 million BTC, increasing their collective balance to 5.939 million BTC. The steady rise signals the entry of fresh mid-sized players building exposure. Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr added that at the same time, distribution from larger cohorts has been notable. Whale wallets (1,000–10,000 BTC) have reduced holdings by 324,000 BTC since March 2024, while Humpbacks (≥10,000 BTC) cut their balance by 391,000 BTC. In total, roughly 715,000 BTC have been released into the market since last year’s peaks. Crucially, this supply has been absorbed, largely by smaller, newer participants, a structural shift that underlines why the $113,000 level could mark one of the last meaningful “discounts” before renewed upside.h