On December 11, Adam, an analyst at Greeks.live, posted on social media that after several days of adjustment, the market has once again reached a position with strong divergence. Currently, BTC is fluctuating below $100,000 and ETH is fluctuating around $3,700. Most altcoins have experienced a decline of more than 20%.
Currently, BTC options account for 80% of the positions and trading volume in the options market and are most indicative. Today's large bullish option transactions accounted for nearly 30%, mainly buying short-term exercise prices of $100k or above. Additionally proactive purchases of protective puts at year-end also accounted for 10% of transaction volume.
The current short-term IV exceeds 60%, which is considered high level; institutions have strong expectations for volatility before Christmas and buying some year-end term options has higher cost-effectiveness.