Ripple’s XRP has been moving with noticeable hesitation recently, struggling to reclaim its earlier bullish momentum. As of April 2, 2025, the daily chart reveals a tightly squeezed price zone just above a critical support layer, hinting at a potential explosion — either upward or downward. This analysis dives deep into XRP’s current structure using Heikin Ashi candles, multiple moving averages, and the Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL) to predict what might come next for this major altcoin.
The XRP/USD daily chart (Heikin Ashi format) showcases a fading bullish momentum transitioning into a slow, grinding downtrend. Heikin Ashi candles are particularly useful here because they smooth out volatility and expose the underlying trend strength more clearly than traditional candles. The recent series of smaller-bodied red candles suggests weak selling pressure, rather than a heavy sell-off — a clue that the market might just be cooling, not collapsing.
Adding to the bearish bias, XRP has consistently traded below the 20-day and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) for the past few weeks, showing that short-term momentum has turned against the bulls. The 100-day SMA is acting as mid-range resistance, while the 200-day SMA — still far below — could act as the final line of defense before a deeper drop ensues.
The chart employs a MA Ribbon with 20, 50, 100, and 200 SMAs to gauge trend strength. Here's what they reveal:
This layered resistance structure indicates that XRP price would need significant bullish volume to break out cleanly above $2.40 again.
The Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL), currently hovering around 1,592, shows a flattening trajectory. This suggests neither strong accumulation nor distribution is occurring — a sign of uncertainty among investors. For bulls to take back control, we would need to see a rise in the ADL, confirming smart money is buying the dip.
XRP Price is hovering just above the $2.11–$2.13 zone, which aligns closely with the Heikin Ashi support area and the early March lows. This support is fragile — a decisive break below could trigger a retest of the 200 SMA around $1.80, which would be a key psychological and technical level. On the upside, bulls need to reclaim the $2.40 zone to even think about regaining upward momentum.
Given the current structure, XRP appears to be coiling for a larger move. If bulls defend the $2.10–$2.00 support and volume returns, XRP could attempt a breakout toward $2.50, and if momentum builds, retest $2.85–$3.00 highs from earlier this year. However, if selling pressure increases and the 200 SMA fails to hold, we could see a drop toward $1.60–$1.50, forming a deeper consolidation range for Q2.
XRP price is at a crossroads. The indicators point to a slowing bearish trend with neutral accumulation signals — meaning a big move is likely brewing. Keep an eye on the 200 SMA and watch for a decisive breakout above the 50-day SMA before turning bullish. Until then, caution is warranted, and swing traders may find range-bound opportunities while long-term holders watch the $2.00 mark like a hawk.