Some experts say the current bull run is fading fast. We got a hot tip from the well-known analyst CRYPTO₿IRB, who’s counting down the days like a wise guy tracking the last hits. His message?
The bull market’s got about 50 days left. The grand finale hits late October or early November. And then it’s over.
It’s so over?
Look, the experts say the numbers speak like an old-timer with a grudge.
It’s been 1,017 days since Bitcoin’s November 2022 low, and history shows those bull peaks land somewhere between 1,060 and 1,100 days after the dip.
That timing points straight at late October to mid-November 2025. So we’re near the finish line, sweating through a typical Q3 shakeout, like a boss testing loyalty before the big move.
Bull run ends in 50 days.
Cycle Peak Countdown says BTC is 95% done (1,017 days in) as we bleed in typical Q3 shakeout.
Use this alpha playbook and retire rich.
(Thread)🧵 pic.twitter.com/rtCwKyJJec
— CRYPTO₿IRB (@crypto_birb) September 4, 2025
Think the halving changes the game? Nah, the April 2024 halving was 503 days ago, and past peaks have popped between 518 and 580 days after.
We’re cruising through that hot zone, guys. It’s like the last lap in a marathon, painful, but you gotta push.
New ATH in November
Now, brace yourself for the other shoe, after peaking, Bitcoin goes on a beating.
History lays it down straight, once that peak hits, expect a 70% to 80% drop over the following year or so. Remember 2021?
Bitcoin dipped 24% in September, then exploded to a new ATH in November. But pride comes before the fall, the asset then lost 72% in early 2022.
Benjamin Cowen, founder of ITC Crypto, backs the pattern, and say that usually, Bitcoin finds a bottom in the September after halving, then bounces up toward a Q4 peak.
Historically, #Bitcoin finds a low in September of the post-halving year, and then bounces off of it into the market cycle top that occurs in Q4. pic.twitter.com/CVbcPOUojM
— Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) September 3, 2025
The script’s been tight, and unless this market is flipping the script, the finale is coming.
BTC under six figures
But others highlight this cycle’s got some unique flavors. Institutional muscle flexes heavier than before, with ETFs and corporate treasuries stepping up.
Retail FOMO? Less so. Also, the US is playing nice toward crypto now, a huge shift from previous bull runs.
Plus, whispers about a Federal Reserve rate cut in two weeks could juice up liquidity, making borrowing cheaper. That’s some big gun ammo.
Price-wise, a September correction like in previous bull markets could push BTC back under six figures.
Currently, it’s standing its ground, but the weekend promises chop, as bulls and bears eyeball each other, seemingly ignoring good news.
So, here’s the main course, the Bitcoin bull market’s on the home stretch, the countdown ticking, the players gearing up for the finale. Are we ready?
Cryptocurrency and Web3 expert, founder of Kriptoworld
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With years of experience covering the blockchain space, András delivers insightful reporting on DeFi, tokenization, altcoins, and crypto regulations shaping the digital economy.
