Bitcoin’s dominance in the crypto world is being tested as gold reasserts itself as the top safe-haven asset
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Data from CoinMarketCap’s Altcoin Season Index reveals that Bitcoin’s share of the crypto market has climbed in September 2025, as trading in altcoins has slowed. The index, which tracks how many of the top 100 altcoins outperform
Midway through September 2025, Bitcoin’s value has hovered near $116,000, marking a 4.4% increase from the previous week. Large holders, including institutional investors and whales, have been increasing their positions, with addresses holding over 100
Technical analysis shows Bitcoin consolidating around the $110,000 level, with strong support at $107,200 and resistance near $112,500. Experts have observed that Bitcoin’s negative correlation with the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped to -0.25—its weakest point in two years. This change implies that Bitcoin’s price is becoming less tied to traditional safe-haven movements, and more influenced by broad economic trends, such as expected interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
While altcoins cool off, gold has staged a historic rally, soaring to $3,728 per ounce in September 2025 and surpassing Bitcoin’s 24% gain so far this year. Gold’s outstanding performance has attracted investment away from altcoins, with gold ETFs now holding $150 billion in assets, compared to $93 billion for Bitcoin ETFs. Such movement underscores investors’ preference for time-tested safe havens, especially during times of geopolitical strife like the U.S.-China trade conflict.
Industry projections see Bitcoin potentially reaching $199,000–$200,000 by year’s end, though some risks remain in the short term. The Altcoin Season Index indicates that in recent months, only a quarter or fewer of the leading altcoins have managed to beat Bitcoin, highlighting Bitcoin’s dominance as a value store. Meanwhile, gold’s rise is credited to central banks buying, fading trust in the U.S. dollar, and worries over stagflation. However, experts warn that Bitcoin’s price swings and regulatory questions still prevent it from fully matching gold’s safe-haven status.
The shifting relationship between Bitcoin and gold is shaping new market dynamics. Although Bitcoin’s growing adoption by institutions and its capped supply make it a promising long-term hedge, its current underperformance relative to gold illustrates the difficulties of rivaling a 5,000-year-old asset. For now, Bitcoin remains the clear leader in the crypto space, but altcoin buyers face a climate where stability is valued over high-risk speculation.
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