The cryptocurrency market is going through one of the most tense phases in recent weeks. After the Bitcoin (BTC) fall close to U.S. $ one thousand 102, the largest cryptocurrency on the market accumulates two weeks in a row of decline, putting strong pressure on investor sentiment.
In the last seven days, some altcoins have retreated more than 30%, generating what analysts classify as a “technical discount” — that is, compressed prices that can become opportunities, if Bitcoin exceeds US$120 again by December.
Traditionally known as “Uptober” — the month in which Bitcoin usually ends on a high — October 2025 broke the positive streak.
Over the past five years, every October had closed in the green, with gains reaching +39% and +28% in 2021 and 2023. This time, however, the movement was the opposite: BTC fell to close to US$102, ending the period in negative territory.
Analysts highlight This correction may have anticipated the realization movement that typically occurs before new upward movements. Historically, November is one of the strongest months for Bitcoin, benefiting from increased liquidity and a renewed appetite for risk.
In this article, we will discuss:
Next, the 10 Most Promising Cryptocurrencies Among the Week's Biggest Drops and what could drive a recovery at the end of the year.
The Story token, which focuses on intellectual property and entertainment assets, has declined 35,7% this week. The movement reflects the weakening appetite for projects linked to the cultural Web3, which depend on engagement and new releases.
With the return of speculative capital, Story can benefit from brand collaborations and events, targeting US$ 8,15 in a 50% recovery.
Even with advances in the ecosystem, Aptos plummeted 35,2%The market adopted a defensive posture, reducing positions in emerging blockchains.
Analysts see room for a quick reaction if the flow returns to tier 1 — which would put the APT back above US$ 4,80.
With a fall of 32,3%, Aster was hit by widespread mid-market capital flight. The token, which had been gaining traction with cross-chain solutions, lost traction as Asian altcoins weakened.
If BTC stabilizes and the market returns to risk, the asset could react up to US$ 1,70.
Pump.fun, a symbol of the meme token boom, saw its enthusiasm quickly dissipate. The decline of 31,1% shows the extreme volatility of popular narrative assets.
In recovery cycles, mood tokens are often the first to react. A rebound until US$ 0,0053 is not discarded.
Even though it is one of the most ambitious projects in decentralized computing, ICP retreated 30,9%The lack of new catalysts and the market's focus on immediate liquidity weighed.
With the return of optimism, the token may revisit the range. $4,40 to $4,50.
Sei, known for its focus on high-speed trading, followed the decline in global volume, falling 29,9%. The reduction in on-chain operations and risk aversion explain the decline.
A recovery scenario could take the asset to US$ 0,29.
Even with solid fundamentals, the Casp lost 29,2%The correction hit infrastructure and mining assets, reflecting the liquidity squeeze.
A technical recovery could push the price to US$ 0,077.
A Polkadot fell 28,5%, following the flight of institutional capital from altcoins. The project continues active development, but still lacks short-term catalysts.
If flow returns to large L1s, DOT can seek US$ 4,30.
A Litecoin, traditionally correlated to BTC, also fell 28,5%The lack of news and the climate of risk aversion weighed on the currency.
With Bitcoin reacting above $120, LTC is likely to follow suit, aiming US$ 136.
Even with the strength of the brand and growing presence in retail, the token PENGU retreated 28,1%The NFT market is going through a phase of lower liquidity and volume.
The expectation is that, with the return of positive sentiment, PENGU will return to the region of US$ 0,0315.
With controlled inflation in the United States and Federal Reserve Maintaining Plan of Gradual Interest Rate Cuts, the global market begins to prepare for a environment of greater liquidity between November and December.
Lower rates reduce opportunity costs and encourage risk-taking — a move that can directly favor Bitcoin and, consequently, the altcoins that have been most punished in recent weeks.
If the BTC surpasses $120 again By the end of the year, analysts believe that listed cryptocurrencies — currently at “discounts” of over 30% — could increase at least 50% in a technical recovery, driven by improved flow and the prospect of lower interest rates in the US.