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Trump’s CZ Clemency Lifts Crypto Market, Yet Legal Analysts Skeptical About SBF Receiving Pardon

Trump’s CZ Clemency Lifts Crypto Market, Yet Legal Analysts Skeptical About SBF Receiving Pardon

Bitget-RWA2025/10/24 10:48
By: Bitget-RWA
- Trump pardoned Binance’s CZ, boosting Bitcoin 2.7% to $110,700 and reigniting crypto market optimism. - Legal experts doubt SBF’s pardon chances despite rising Polymarket odds, citing his 25-year fraud sentence versus CZ’s compliance issues. - Market frenzy saw $6.6M staked on SBF’s release (15.5% odds) and 36% chance of CZ’s Binance return by year-end. - Global moves included Kyrgyzstan’s CBDC partnership and Canada’s diplomatic push to reduce U.S. economic dependence.

LookOnChain’s assessment.>

On October 24, 2025, the cryptocurrency sector experienced a dramatic resurgence after U.S. President Donald

issued a complete pardon to Binance’s founder Changpeng "CZ" Zhao. This decision propelled up by 2.7%, pushing its value past $110,700, and reignited debates about possible pardons for other prominent industry figures. Trump described his action as a move to "reverse the Biden administration’s approach to cryptocurrency," which immediately drew parallels to the situation of former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF). Following the news, Polymarket betting odds for an SBF pardon jumped from 5.6% to 12%, according to a .

Trump’s CZ Clemency Lifts Crypto Market, Yet Legal Analysts Skeptical About SBF Receiving Pardon image 0

Despite the excitement, legal professionals and market analysts remain doubtful about SBF’s likelihood of receiving clemency. Jake Chervinsky, a lawyer specializing in crypto, described the notion of pardoning SBF as "genuinely shocking," emphasizing that SBF’s 25-year sentence for fraud and misappropriation of billions in customer assets is far more serious than CZ’s regulatory violations. Sasha Hodder, founder of Hodder Law, pointed out that "CZ was never accused of misusing client funds or committing fraud," and noted that Binance "functioned as a legitimate exchange," as reported by Cointelegraph. At the same time, Trump justified CZ’s pardon, asserting that he was "targeted by the Biden administration" and that his actions "did not constitute a crime," according to a

.

The pardon triggered a surge of activity in financial markets. On Polymarket, traders wagered more than $6.6 million on SBF’s potential release, with the probability of his freedom climbing to 15.5%. Although CZ’s return to Binance remains uncertain, the likelihood briefly peaked at 82% for a year-end comeback before dropping to 36%. The wider crypto market, buoyed by Trump’s favorable stance, saw

trade near $3,850, while gold reached $4,099 per ounce, signaling a broader shift toward risk assets, as highlighted in the aforementioned LookOnChain analysis.

Outside the crypto world, global economic events contributed to the week’s turbulence. Blockchain company Sign revealed a collaboration with Kyrgyzstan’s central bank to introduce a central bank digital currency (CBDC) for 7.2 million people, highlighting the increasing adoption of digital assets in developing economies, according to a

. Meanwhile, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, aiming to lessen reliance on the U.S., sought to deepen relations with Asian nations, including a possible meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping to repair trade ties, as detailed in a .

The intersection of geopolitics and financial markets underscored a rapidly evolving environment. While Trump’s pardons hinted at a more lenient regulatory climate for crypto, instability in the Middle East persisted, with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan urging the U.S. to pressure Israel over ceasefire breaches in Gaza. These factors, along with ongoing U.S.-China trade discussions, kept investors cautious as they navigated a landscape shaped by shifting policies and economic signals, according to a

.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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