Ethereum's value has been caught between strong institutional accumulation and downward market forces, fueling discussions about whether the asset is set for a notable recovery or will remain in a consolidation phase. Blockchain infrastructure company BitMine, headed by seasoned analyst Tom Lee, recently purchased 63,539 ETH (worth $251 million) during a period of heightened volatility, increasing its total holdings to 3.29 million ETH, which represents 2.73% of the overall supply. Lee, who is targeting ownership of 5% of Ethereum’s circulating coins, described the latest price dip as a “prime buying window” and reaffirmed his projection of a $10,000–$12,000 price range by 2025, according to a
Yet, despite this show of confidence from major players, Ethereum’s price has failed to break through significant resistance points. As of October 21, ETH hovered around $3,880, having dropped below $4,000 earlier in the week. Analysts such as Ali Martinez have raised their short-term forecasts to $4,440, referencing technical signals like a rebound from the lower edge of a descending parallel channel that has been in place since August. However, on-chain metrics from platforms like Glassnode and Santiment point to challenges: large investors have trimmed their ETH holdings by 140,000 coins (about $550 million), and a “supply wall” of 1.06 million ETH acquired between $3,955 and $4,015 is currently limiting upward price movement, as noted in a
These mixed signals have left market participants uncertain. While Ethereum’s network usage and staking rates remain strong, broader economic factors—such as speculation about U.S. interest rates and Bitcoin’s lack of clear direction—continue to influence market mood, according to a
Uncertainty is further heightened by reported internal disputes within the Ethereum community. Rumors of disagreements between developers and co-founder Vitalik Buterin have contributed to negative sentiment, though these claims remain unverified, CCN noted. On the other hand, supporters point to Ethereum’s strong long-term outlook, citing increased institutional interest and upcoming network improvements as potential drivers for a move toward $10,000, as highlighted in the Yahoo Finance report.
As Ethereum consolidates, the next major hurdle will be achieving a sustained close above $4,340, which coincides with both on-chain resistance and key Fibonacci retracement levels. Clearing this level could open the door to $4,520 and possibly $4,960, challenging the previous all-time high. Conversely, a drop below $3,880 could bring support at $3,680 into play, deepening the bearish scenario, as previously mentioned in a BeInCrypto analysis.
With more than $145 million withdrawn from spot Ethereum ETFs on October 20, retail investors appear cautious while institutions continue to accumulate. The upcoming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Ethereum can overcome its technical and macroeconomic challenges, or if the market will remain stuck in an extended period of consolidation.