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Tether’s $500 Billion Bet: Growth Fueled by Regulation or Hidden Motives?

Tether’s $500 Billion Bet: Growth Fueled by Regulation or Hidden Motives?

Bitget-RWA2025/10/25 00:42
By: Bitget-RWA
- Tether projects $15B 2025 net profit (99% margin) and explores $500B valuation via Cantor Fitzgerald-led fundraising. - Dominates $316B stablecoin market with $182B USDT circulation, plans U.S. launch of regulated USAT via Anchorage Digital. - Faces transparency scrutiny despite $127B Treasury reserves and $41M CFTC fines, lacks Big Four audit for reserves. - Expands into AI, energy, and tokenized assets via Plasma blockchain, aiming tech conglomerate transformation. - Balancing U.S. GENIUS Act complianc

Tether, the company behind the world's most widely used stablecoin

, anticipates an impressive $15 billion in net earnings for 2025, fueled by a remarkable 99% profit margin. The firm is also considering a potential fundraising round that could value it at $500 billion, as detailed in a . Tether's swift growth, now boasting 500 million verified users worldwide, was spotlighted in a , underscoring its leading position in the $316 billion stablecoin sector. According to a , USDT's supply has reached $182 billion—almost twice as much as competitor Circle's , based on a . CEO Paolo Ardoino has established as a financial leader, capitalizing on elevated interest rates to achieve nearly $5 billion in quarterly profits. The company also intends to introduce USAT, a stablecoin compliant with U.S. regulations, by the end of the year, as reported by .

The anticipated $15 billion profit in 2025 follows a $13 billion gain in 2024, largely attributed to Tether's $127 billion in U.S. Treasury assets. Ardoino has highlighted the company's focus on strategic reserves, investing in areas such as artificial intelligence and energy, while also expanding into regulated markets. The U.S. debut of USAT, to be managed by Anchorage Digital and supported by Cantor Fitzgerald, aims to attract 100 million American users by December, leveraging platforms like Rumble, where Tether has already invested $775 million. This initiative aligns with the GENIUS Act's regulatory standards, marking a shift toward formal compliance after years of offshore operations.

Despite its strong financial performance, Tether continues to face questions about its transparency. The company provides quarterly reserve attestations from BDO Italia but has not yet completed an audit by one of the Big Four firms. Previous regulatory actions, such as a $41 million fine from the CFTC, highlight persistent risks. Detractors argue that Tether's lack of transparency stands in contrast to its significant market role, which includes enabling cross-border payments in developing countries and acting as a settlement mechanism for global crypto trades, as mentioned in a

.

A planned $20 billion capital raise, with Cantor Fitzgerald as advisor, could put Tether's valuation at $500 billion—on par with companies like SpaceX and OpenAI. Ardoino has dismissed skepticism, describing the valuation as "very cheap," according to

, while highlighting the benefits of working with new investors. Still, the company's reluctance to identify specific targets or provide audit timelines has led to doubts about its preparedness for increased public oversight, as noted in a .

Tether's goals now reach beyond stablecoins. The company has restructured into divisions that focus on energy, data analytics, and education, with the aim of becoming a broad-based technology holding group. Its

blockchain, which launched in October 2025, attracted $6 billion in total value locked within its first week, according to a , reflecting rising interest in tokenized assets.

As Tether faces both regulatory and reputational hurdles, its path mirrors the wider integration of crypto into mainstream finance. With USAT set to enter a U.S. market shaped by the GENIUS Act and MiCA in Europe, Tether's ability to balance innovation with regulatory demands will be crucial for its future. For now, Tether stands as a key indicator of both the promise and the challenges within the crypto industry.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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