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According to the report, a golden cross takes place when the Stochastic RSI’s %K line moves above the %D line, usually below the 20 mark, indicating strengthening bullish momentum. In November 2024, the %K line jumped from 4.78 to 20.66, while the %D line dropped to 10.07, preceding a 500% rally. A similar setup in April 2025, with the %K line reaching 5.44 and the %D line falling to 4.42, was followed by a 128% surge from $1.61 to $3.66. The latest crossover, seen in early October 2025, had the %K line rising to 18, overtaking the %D line at 10.96, which has heightened expectations for another strong move, the report noted.
 With an average return of 314% from these two previous cases, XRP could potentially reach $10.93 if the trend continues. This estimate is in line with recent forecasts from analysts such as Ali Martinez and EGRAG Crypto, who have pointed to both technical and fundamental drivers for an $11 target, according to the report. Despite this, the wider crypto market remains wary, and XRP’s annual volatility of 50–100% means that institutional investors may need to employ hedging strategies, as detailed in
XRP is also being explored for a new application in foreign exchange (FX) hedging. As corporate treasurers look for ways to manage currency risk, XRP’s rapid settlement on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) could help them avoid prolonged exposure to fluctuating exchange rates, the analysis suggests. For instance, a U.S. business could convert dollars to XRP and then to euros within seconds, sidestepping traditional FX risks. TheCryptoBasic analysts also point out that XRP’s integration with CME futures and liquidity pools boosts its value for hedging, though its volatility means active risk management is essential, the analysis warns.
According to a hypothetical scenario from Google Gemini, if XRP were to capture 15% of the $130 trillion global FX derivatives market, its price could soar to $250. This projection is based on a 1:1 relationship between XRP’s market cap and the notional value it supports, resulting in a $15 trillion market cap with a circulating supply of 60 billion, the analysis states. While this outlook is speculative, it highlights the increasing institutional interest in XRP as a bridge asset.
With technical signals and new use cases converging, XRP finds itself at a pivotal moment. However, observers note that regulatory shifts and broader economic trends could shape its future. As XRP experiences its latest rally, attention is on whether the golden cross and FX hedging narrative will lead to lasting adoption and price growth.