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Bitcoin Update: Institutional Interest and Economic Changes Drive 42% Surge in Bitcoin Value This November

Bitcoin Update: Institutional Interest and Economic Changes Drive 42% Surge in Bitcoin Value This November

Bitget-RWA2025/11/01 02:46
By: Bitget-RWA
- Bitcoin surged 42.49% in November 2025 amid $3.5B ETF inflows and 12% institutional ownership, defying October's volatility. - Ethereum gained 7.08% despite $220M liquidations, driven by $9.6B ETF inflows and the upcoming Fusaka upgrade. - Historical November trends (avg. 40.5% BTC return) and Fed rate cuts (0.25% cut) bolstered risk-on sentiment. - Experts like Saylor predict $150K–$200K BTC by year-end, citing "hard money trade" and gold-to-crypto capital rotation.

Bitcoin and Ethereum's November Results Inspire Confidence Amid Changing Macro Landscape

In November 2025, Bitcoin soared with an average return of 42.49%, while

achieved a 7.08% increase, bucking the trend after a turbulent October characterized by tariff-driven sell-offs and global tensions, as highlighted in a . This rally highlights the deepening connection between crypto markets and traditional finance, fueled by institutional participation, favorable macroeconomic factors, and strategic improvements within the crypto sector.

Bitcoin Update: Institutional Interest and Economic Changes Drive 42% Surge in Bitcoin Value This November image 0

Bitcoin's price rebound—from a mid-October low of $104,000 to $114,600 by October 28, according to an

—was driven by $3.5 billion in new investments into spot ETFs this month. Institutional investors now hold 12% of all Bitcoin, the highest ever, with adding 2,772 BTC to its reserves in Q3 2025, as reported by . The Federal Reserve's expected 0.25% rate reduction this week further encouraged risk-taking, with the U.S. Dollar Index dropping below 99 and global M2 money supply growing 6% year-over-year.

Historical performance strengthens the bullish outlook: Since 2011, Bitcoin has averaged a 40.5% gain in November, with exceptional years like 2013 (453.9% jump) and 2020 (42.9% rise). Despite a 4.5% dip in October, investors are preparing for a "Santa rally," and experts such as Michael Saylor and Robert Kiyosaki, in a

, predict Bitcoin could reach $150,000–$200,000 by the end of the year. Saylor attributes this to the "hard money trade," observing a shift of capital from gold to crypto as the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio returns to pre-tariff levels.

Ethereum's 7.08% rise in November demonstrates its strength, even after a $220.8 million liquidation event earlier in the month, according to an

. The upcoming Fusaka upgrade, scheduled for December 3, aims to boost scalability through 12 Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs), including EIP-7594 for Layer 2 validation. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs attracted $9.6 billion in Q3 inflows, surpassing Bitcoin's $8.7 billion, with spot ETFs now representing 5.51% of Ethereum’s market cap, as noted in a .

Market signals remain mixed. On October 30, Bitcoin ETFs saw $488.43 million in outflows, according to a

, while Ethereum ETFs experienced $184.31 million in redemptions, per a . However, significant Ethereum withdrawals from exchanges suggest accumulation ahead of possible price increases (as referenced in the TradingView report above). Tether’s Q3 figures revealed $135 billion in U.S. Treasury assets and $12.9 billion in gold reserves, strengthening trust in stablecoins, according to a .

Macro conditions are currently favorable for digital assets. Lower inflation (around 3%) and a weaker dollar mirror previous Bitcoin bull markets, while easing tensions between the U.S. and China have reduced volatility. Cboe Global Markets reported a 14% revenue increase in Q3 2025, crediting growth to derivatives and data services, as detailed in a .

Looking forward, Bitcoin faces major resistance at $116,000, and a breakout could propel it toward $120,000. For Ethereum, maintaining support at $3,600 and the outcome of the Fusaka upgrade will be key for a move toward $4,500. Analysts warn that, despite strong historical patterns, ongoing macro risks and thin liquidity in October call for a cautious approach.

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.
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