The historic trade pact announced between the United States and China on November 1, 2025,
The details of the U.S.-China trade pact, outlined in a
Market observers attribute Bitcoin's steady performance to evolving market conditions. "We're witnessing a transition from early adopters who thrived in volatile times to a new wave of traditional finance participants who favor stability," one analyst noted in a recent publication. This shift indicates that long-term holders are selling to institutions seeking less risky, more stable assets. The pattern mirrors broader financial trends, as established financial firms increase their Bitcoin exposure while retail speculation declines.
The broader economic effects of the trade deal could indirectly impact Bitcoin, particularly through the integration of stablecoins and traditional finance.
At the same time, the trade pact's emphasis on agricultural and industrial supply chains may influence crypto demand in sectors such as logistics and energy. For example, U.S. soybean growers could see gains from China's pledge to buy 25 million metric tons annually, potentially boosting business revenues and reducing uncertainty. Still, these macroeconomic shifts tend to affect Bitcoin's price indirectly or with a delay, as it remains more responsive to monetary policy and institutional investment patterns.
Importantly, the temporary nature of the agreement—with many provisions set to lapse by late 2026—adds to market unpredictability. While the deal offers short-term relief from trade disputes, its long-term effectiveness is uncertain, discouraging bold moves in both stock and crypto markets. This caution is further heightened by global geopolitical issues, such as
Looking ahead, Bitcoin's direction will likely be shaped by stablecoin activity and institutional participation. The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR), which compares Bitcoin's market value to stablecoin reserves, has reached levels historically associated with bearish sentiment, hinting at a possible price floor. However, confirmation will depend on continued capital inflows and further development of traditional finance infrastructure, such as