According to ChainCatcher, Quantum Doomsday Clock indicates that quantum computing may break the Bitcoin encryption system on March 8, 2028. Research points out that breaking ECC-256 requires only 1,673 logical quantum bits, while RSA-2048 requires 2,314.
Michael Osborne, CTO of IBM, stated that quantum risks are growing faster than expected, and IBM's Starling project plans to build a fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029. Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko warned that blockchain networks must migrate to quantum-resistant encryption technologies within five years.