Fresh selling from large Bitcoin holders is putting renewed pressure on an already shaky market, as traders deal with one of the steepest pullbacks of the year. Price softness, rising exchange inflows, and cautious positioning across major trading venues all point to a market still trying to find its footing. Analysts at CryptoQuant say continued whale deposits could push Bitcoin lower if the pattern persists.
Whale activity jumped sharply on Nov. 21, when CryptoQuant tracked about 9,000 BTC moving to exchanges in a single day. Around the same time, Bitcoin slipped to $80,600 on Coinbase—its lowest level in seven months—hinting at growing strain among investors with large positions. Exchange inflows often signal an intention to sell, making the latest spike something traders are watching closely.
Roughly 45% of all BTC sent to exchanges came from transfers of 100 BTC or more, according to CryptoQuant. This concentration suggests whales are still trimming positions as the broader correction plays out. The average BTC deposit rose to 1.23 BTC in November, the highest in a year, pointing to a rise in larger transactions.
Stablecoin activity added another wrinkle to the market setup. Binance’s stablecoin reserves climbed to a record $51 billion this week, a sign that traders are parking funds in dollar-linked assets while waiting for clearer direction. BTC and Ether inflows across major exchanges reached $40 billion, with Binance and Coinbase responsible for most of the movement.
Rising stablecoin reserves often accompany periods of caution. Capital moves out of volatile assets and into neutral positions, where it can sit until conditions improve or new opportunities appear.
Analysts are split on where Bitcoin may settle from here. Earlier in the week, James Check pointed to remaining leverage in derivatives markets, arguing that a brief move into the $70,000–$80,000 range is still possible if excess risk needs to be flushed out. BitMine chairman Tom Lee also tempered his earlier optimism, saying a return to Bitcoin’s all-time high by year-end is now only “maybe” within reach.
Ether and other major altcoins are showing similar behavior to the OG crypto. Ether deposits on exchanges have increased, though not as dramatically as Bitcoin. Broader altcoin inflows picked up through the month as selling intensified, pushing many assets back toward levels last seen during bear-market phases.
Blockchain intelligence platform 10x Research explained that Bitcoin remains in a tactical oversold phase. Experts at the firm pointed to $92,000 and $101,000 as the next significant resistance zones for market participants to watch.
Bitcoin briefly climbed back to $91,000 on Thursday and remained slightly above that level at the time of writing. Even so, sentiment remains weak, with the Fear & Greed Index at 22.
Key forces influencing sentiment include:
Bitcoin has fallen 36% since October 2025 and is holding short-term support near $80,500. More than 8% of the asset’s circulating supply changed hands within a week during the decline, an unusually large shift.
Analysts say this pattern shows meaningful redistribution among long-term holders, short-term traders, and buyers stepping in on the dip. Researchers at K33 noted that the depth of the pullback may offer a relative opportunity for investors who are willing to look past near-term volatility.
Long-range forecasts for 2026 vary widely, from $90,000 to $200,000, and depend heavily on ETF flows, institutional demand, and broader adoption trends.