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Attached image from the video I posted 11th August. ETH put in it's current top 24th August, then we corrected into the 6th, before now reversing. IF we rally into late Sept, then 26th is a major ⚠️date for me. We have a lot of narrative validation around alt-szn, and yet also a mix of belief and disbelief. + We have totally torn sentiment around FOMC. If they do end up igniting a strong rally tomorrow, then you have to question where the trap has been laid IMO. If this were to play out, the expectation would be we distribute in October, break down in November and potentially find a bottom in December. As always: this is just an idea. But, the idea for the past 5 weeks has been good. + I imagine this is scenario few can even fathom happening. FWIW: If this were to play out, I still think there's the potential we get major alt upswings, but maybe it comes December onward - after rekking everyone (again) fist. Also worth considering the idea I shared on ETH and the SFP, following BTC, XRP, SOL and BNB. We've already had one SFP of the weekly, and the idea was that we can certainly do it again. From the current high ETH dropped -15%, that is less than BTC's SFP. All of the other top 5 dropped 30-60%, before resuming upward. So if we do uspwing into that date of the 26th September, and ETH looks to put in another weekly SFP - then ⚠️. Again - it's an idea, and it's been right so far. Take it with a pinch of salt - all ideas are fallible.

XRP holds $3.00, reflecting the calm in the crypto market ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Bloomberg's James Seyffart hints at REX-Osprey XRP ETF launch this week. XRP is still at risk of extending declines below the $3.00 level if macro factors fail to support a bullish outcome. Ripple (XRP) upholds a bullish picture trading at around $3.045 on Tuesday, as market participants await the United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision this Wednesday.  The consensus is that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00 to 4.25%, amid growing optimism for a 50 bps cut. A rate cut could support the crypto market's bullish outlook in the fourth quarter, as investors seek exposure to riskier assets such as crypto and equities. Could XRP rally as XRP ETF launch debuts? The REX-Osprey XRP Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is expected to start trading in the US this week, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart said via X on Monday. Following the launch, investors in the traditional market will, for the first time in the US, have spot exposure to XRP.  The ETF, expected to trade under the ticker XRPR, differs from Bitcoin and ETH spot ETFs as it provides exposure to the underlying asset's spot price by holding XRP and other XRP ETF products listed globally. "The fund documents also have language that would allow derivatives usage for exposure if needed but that definitely isn't the primary exposure method," Seyffart stated. REX Shares, the company behind the XRPR ETF, did not specify the launch date; however, Seyffart stated that the product could start trading this Thursday, alongside Dogecoin's DOJE ETF, which is also supported by the same entity. Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs are playing a fundamental role in the cryptocurrency market, allowing direct exposure to the two largest digital assets by market capitalization for traditional investors on stock exchanges.  Inflows in BTC and ETH ETFs have fueled price surges in both assets, reflecting increasing demand. Hence, the launch of the XRPR ETF could drive interest in the cross-border money remittance token, possibly fuelling the next run-up to new all-time highs above the $3.66 reached on July 18. Technical outlook: XRP eyes bullish breakout  XRP remains above $3.00 at the time of writing on Tuesday, supported by a descending trendline and the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.944. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently rebounding at 54 after testing the midline, supports a scenario where bullish momentum builds ahead of a breakout toward the record high of $3.66. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator backs XRP's bullish case, maintaining a buy signal since September 8. Investors will consider increasing their exposure to XRP with the blue MACD line remaining above the red signal line. Besides the XRPR ETF, the Fed interest rate decision this Wednesday could shape the outlook of the broader cryptocurrency market. A rate cut would boost risk-on sentiment for digital assets, including XRP.  If market dynamics shift to the bearish side and the price of XRP slips below the $3.00 level, the 50-day EMA at $2.944, the 100-day EMA at $2.817 and the support tested at $2.695 on September 1 would be in line to absorb the selling pressure. $XRP

$XRP The crypto market remains quiet ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve interest rate announcement, with XRP around $3.00. Bloomberg's James Seyffart suggests REX-Osprey XRP ETF debut this week. If macro variables don't improve, XRP might go below $3.00. Trading over $3.00 on Tuesday, Ripple (XRP) remains positive ahead of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate announcement on Wednesday. Despite increased expectations for a 50-bps decrease, the FOMC is expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.00 to 4.25%. As investors seek exposure to riskier assets like crypto and stocks, a rate decrease might boost the crypto market in the fourth quarter. The ETF, planned to trade under the ticker XRPR, holds XRP and other worldwide XRP ETF products to give exposure to the underlying asset's current price, unlike Bitcoin and ETH spot ETFs. "The fund documents also have language that would allow derivatives usage for exposure if needed but that definitely isn't the primary exposure method," Seyffart said. THE XRPR ETF's debut date was not announced by REX Shares, but Seyffart said it might begin trading on Thursday with Dogecoin's DOJE ETF, which is also backed by the same business. BTC and ETH ETF inflows have driven price increases, showing rising demand. Thus, the introduction of the XRPR ETF may boost demand in the cross-border money remittance token, likely fueling the next run-up over $3.66 on July 18. XRP is above $3.00 on Tuesday, supported by a declining trendline and the 50-day EMA around $2.94. After testing the midline, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is recovering at 54, suggesting positive momentum before a breakthrough above $3.66, the record high. Besides the XRPR ETF, the Fed interest rate decision on Wednesday might affect the cryptocurrency market. If market dynamics turn negative and XRP falls below $3.00, the 50-day EMA at $2.94, the 100-day EMA at $2.81, and the September 1 support at $2.70 will absorb the selling pressure.

$XRP / $USD [4H] Currently preparing to range until the FOMC meeting, it’s still unlikely that we will see some big volatility before FOMC. Officially speaking from a structural perspective, yes we have broken structure in such a way that we can confirm that the bulls are back in town, so statistically speaking when a structure gets broken in favour of bulls it usually isn’t a fake-out but it can be of course depending on the outcome of the FOMC meeting. Best is if you wait until we break the monthly high. We will prepare for tomorrow!