Prominent crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently shared on Twitter a timeline for when the next Bitcoin (BTC) bull market peak might occur, emphasizing the key role of halving cycles in shaping BTC's market trajectory.
According to Rekt Capital's analysis, historically, Bitcoin has reached its bull market peak within 518 to 546 days after a halving event. Based on this timeline, the next bull market peak could occur between mid-September and mid-October 2025. However, recent market dynamics suggest that Bitcoin's current cycle may be accelerating faster than historical norms. Notably, Bitcoin prices hit a new all-time high about 260 days ahead of the usual schedule. Despite clear acceleration, Bitcoin has been experiencing pre-halving pullbacks over the past month. These pullbacks have slowed down the cycle and pushed back the timeline by approximately 230 days compared to what was observed before these pullbacks occurred. This slowdown effectively extended the bull market cycle by about 30 days.
Meanwhile, Rekt Capital also introduced an "accelerated perspective," considering time from breaking previous all-time highs to potential bull-market peaks for bitcoin. In this case, peaks could happen within 266 to 315 days after surpassing previous all-time highs. Considering that BTC set a new record high in March this year under this view suggests that next bull-market peak might appear between December 2024 and February 2025 . Overall both traditional half-cycle timelines and accelerated perspectives provide valuable insights into possible bitcoin bullish peaks.The ongoing acceleration of current cycles indicates typical half-cycle lengths may shorten possibly leading markets peaking sooner.However,the impact of retracements and consolidations on entire cycles must be considered.Extended periods of retracement or consolidation can further slow down cycles delaying expected bullish peaks.
As Bitcoin continues navigating through its current market cycle,the community is closely monitoring these key factors,to gain clearer understanding when next bullish peak might emerge.