News

Polymarket has launched a new market: "When will Powell step down as Federal Reserve Chair?" Currently, the highest probability is June 6 to 12, at 20%; followed by May 30 to June 5, at 18%. The rules for this event contract are as follows: The market will be settled based on the specific date range when Powell steps down as Federal Reserve Chair. "Resignation" means Powell is no longer actually serving as the Federal Reserve Chair. An announcement of his resignation or dismissal alone does not fulfill the condition. The scheduled end of Powell's term alone also does not fulfill the condition. If Powell continues as acting chair (for example, until his successor is confirmed), he will not be considered to have vacated the position. This market is limited to the period during which Powell serves as Federal Reserve Chair. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board will not affect the settlement of this market. All dates are based on U.S. Eastern Time. Keep following the prediction market to see changes before they are priced in.

Monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new contract titled "Anthropic, developer of Claude, next funding round deadline." Currently, the probability of completion by the end of June is reported at 22%; by the end of December, the probability is reported at 81%. The rules for this event contract are as follows: If the specified company publicly and formally announces, before the specified date (Eastern Time), that it has completed its next funding round, the market will ultimately resolve as "Yes". Otherwise, the market will resolve as "No". A qualifying announcement must clearly confirm that the new round of funding has been completed, and can be made through the specified company (such as a press release), official announcements from investors, regulatory filings, or consensus reporting by trusted media. Informal announcements, statements from anonymous sources, or leaks do not qualify. If the specified company is unable to complete a new funding round due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by another entity, the market will resolve as "No". The primary sources for settlement will be official announcements from the specified company and official documents such as SEC filings; however, consensus reports from trusted media may also be used. Continue to monitor the prediction market—see the changes before pricing.

BlockBeats News, on April 18, according to third-party data platforms, as of 10:48 (UTC+8), the Bitcoin Ahr999 "bottom fishing" indicator broke through 0.45, reading 0.4586. As a result, this indicator has surpassed the "bottom line" and entered the "dollar-cost averaging zone." This indicator was created by ahr999 and is designed to help Bitcoin dollar-cost averaging users incorporate timing strategies to make investment decisions. This indicator implies the short-term rate of return for Bitcoin DCA and measures how much Bitcoin's price deviates from its expected value. In Bitcoin's history, the Ahr999 index has been below the bottom line (0.45) for 572 days. The dollar-cost averaging zone is 0.45–1.2, representing that Bitcoin's price is within a relatively reasonable range, suitable for maintaining a disciplined DCA strategy. Do not change your investment plan due to short-term fluctuations; maintaining disciplined DCA is key to long-term profits.