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(1) Capital Economics maintains its baseline forecast, believing that although rising crude oil prices will increase costs for Japanese companies, the overall economic impact should remain limited due to the Japanese government's price caps on gasoline and petroleum products. (2) However, Japan remains highly dependent on Middle Eastern petroleum products, especially naphtha—more than half of its consumption relies on imports. Marcel Thieliant, Head of Asia-Pacific at Capital Economics, pointed out that if naphtha shortages worsen, reduced production of plastic products could disrupt broader supply chains. (3) In addition, Japanese manufacturers may also face the risk of weak sales in the Middle East due to difficulties in shipping goods to the region, with the automotive industry being particularly vulnerable.

Odaily Seer channel monitoring shows that Polymarket launched a new market early this morning: "Will any user achieve a perfect prediction for NCAA March Madness?" Currently, no one has placed a bet. According to a previous report by Odaily, on March 17, prediction market Kalshi announced that it would follow the example of Warren Buffett and launch a "Perfect Bracket Challenge" for the upcoming NCAA "March Madness" tournament—users who perfectly predict all match outcomes will win a super prize of 1.1 billions USD. Odaily Seer channel continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.

Odaily Seer channel monitoring shows that a newly created wallet has staked $44,000 on Iran maintaining control over Kharg Island this month, with the current market probability at 91.5%. It is reported that Kharg Island is a core oil export hub in the northern Persian Gulf of Iran, responsible for more than 90% of Iran's crude oil exports. It holds irreplaceable strategic value for both Iran's economy and the global energy supply chain. Odaily Seer channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before pricing.