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Golden Ten Data reported on April 29 that DWS Group, the asset management company under Deutsche Bank, stated that net inflows for the first quarter slowed due to volatility impacting global markets triggered by the Iran war. In the three months ending in March, long-term net inflows amounted to 6.6 billion euros, down from 8 billion euros in the previous quarter and 11.7 billion euros in the same period last year. DWS noted that after a "robust" start to the year, "since the end of February, with a significant deterioration in the geopolitical environment, rising uncertainty and increasing volatility have put pressure on markets, energy prices, and inflation, challenging positive momentum." The 6.6 billion euro inflow is only half the quarterly average needed for DWS to achieve its goal of attracting over 160 billion euros in inflows between 2026 and 2028. The company's assets under management increased 0.7% quarter-on-quarter to 1.09 trillion euros.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 4 clever funds have invested $71.4k in "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement by May 31, 2026?", with an average buy-in probability of 68.7%. The current probability for "Yes" is 29.5%.SwissMiss is best related to the ceasefire submarket, with a net profit of $205k. Out of 2 settled trades in this submarket, the win rate is 2/2 (100%), with 1 trade having a buy price below $0.8 and a sell price above $0.95. armageddonrewardsbilly is best related to the politics submarket, with a net profit of $882k. Out of 1594 settled trades in this submarket, the win rate is 917/1594 (58%), with 106 trades having a buy price below $0.8 and a sell price above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.651-$0.8), the median historical investment amount is $6.0k. ScottyNooo is best related to the politics submarket, with a net profit of $1.4M. Out of 2827 settled trades in this submarket, the win rate is 1324/2827 (47%), with 215 trades having a buy price below $0.8 and a sell price above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.551-$0.7), the median historical investment amount is $660, and this current investment is 19.6 times that median. RememberAmalek is best related to the politics submarket, with a net profit of $809k. Out of 616 settled trades in this submarket, the win rate is 441/616 (72%), with 164 trades having a buy price below $0.8 and a sell price above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.601-$0.75), the median historical investment amount is $542, and this current investment is 21.5 times that median.Due to Trump's dissatisfaction with the latest proposal from Tehran, the market remains cautious as "peace talks remain stagnant." Iran is seeking the US to lift the naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and the mediators expect Iran to submit a revised proposal in the coming days.In Iran, wartime power is increasingly concentrated in the hands of the security apparatus and the Revolutionary Guard. Insiders suggest that the empowerment of the Revolutionary Guard will drive a more hardline foreign policy and stricter domestic control. Following the state of war and top-level power shifts, Iran lacks the internal capacity to easily resist this security-first approach, leading to a further reduction in negotiation flexibility between the US and Iran.Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of events but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions after opening a position at a certain point in time.Accounts:0xdbade4c82fb72780a0db9a38f821d8671aba9c950xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a0669464180xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab350x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7aTotal Investment: $71.4k---------------------------------

According to Odaily Seer channel monitoring, on Polymarket, in the prediction event about “What will Powell say at the April press conference?”, the probability of buying “Good Afternoon” has risen to 98.3%. As the trading price is now close to 98.3¢, the total trading volume for this event currently stands at 57,749 US dollars. As background, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell is about to hold the April monetary policy press conference. Since his term will expire in mid-next month, this conference is seen as the grand finale of his career. Historically, Powell habitually greets the media with “Good afternoon” at the beginning of every press conference. Although the market is currently under pressure from a high interest rate environment, traders show an extremely high consensus when predicting this kind of formal greeting. Odaily Seer channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing occurs.