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Greeks.live: It is expected that the volatility of the cryptocurrency market will not be too large before the end of the election

Greeks.live: It is expected that the volatility of the cryptocurrency market will not be too large before the end of the election

Bitget2024/10/16 03:21

Macro analyst Adam from Greeks.live posted on the X platform, stating that as the U.S. election is approaching, all statistical channels show Trump leading in the competition, but there is still a great deal of uncertainty in the U.S. election. Datalab options data shows that during election week, BTC's at-the-money option IV (Implied Volatility) was 57%, while it was only 47% one week before the election, giving a 10% IV difference for the market due to elections. The current term structure also indicates an implied market view: volatility will not be too high before the end of elections. Market trading volume also proves this point; even though there has been a good upward trend this week, big players are reluctant to bet on continued rises.

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Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

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