Vice President Kamala Harris’s odds of winning the presidential election have surged following a monumental $2 million bet on Polymarket by an anonymous user, “Ly67890.”
As of Wednesday, Harris’s odds climbed to 39.6%, while former President Donald Trump’s chances fell to 60.3%%. The recent activity marks a significant shift from earlier this month when Trump was projected to win with a commanding 66% probability.
Since then, the dynamic nature of the political betting landscape has drawn increasing interest from bettors eager to capitalize on the changing tides.
Ly67890’s entrance into the betting fray is noteworthy not only for the size of the wager but also for the methodical approach taken.
The user split their $2 million bet across dozens of transactions, with individual wagers exceeding $100,000. Interestingly, despite the high-stakes gamble, Ly67890 is currently facing a paper loss of over $31,000—a 1.5% dip—indicating the volatile nature of prediction markets.
Behind the scenes, the funds used for this bet reportedly came from a wallet associated with Binance, highlighting the intertwining of traditional finance and the crypto world in this unprecedented election.
As bettors flock to Polymarket , daily active users reached an all-time high of 26,500, with a staggering 94% of recent bets focusing on political outcomes.
Adding fuel to the political betting fire, Ripple Labs co-founder Chris Larsen recently donated $10 million in XRP to support Harris’s campaign, demonstrating the increasing influence of crypto enthusiasts in U.S. politics.
While these large sums signal a robust backing for Harris, opinions on the reliability of prediction markets remain divided. Notable figures like billionaire investor Mark Cuban have raised concerns, suggesting that many bettors may not be U.S.-based, thus questioning the validity of the odds being presented.
