Now that Donald Trump has won the 2024 presidential election, all eyes are on his first 100 days in office. One of the biggest questions is: who will he choose to pardon? Ross Ulbricht, the founder of the Silk Road marketplace, tops the list with a 68% chance of receiving a pardon.
A recent chart from Polymarkt, a prediction platform, gives us insight into who’s most likely to be freed. Ulbricht’s case has been in the spotlight since Trump’s Truth Social post in October 2024, when he vowed to “save” Ulbricht.
Source: Polymarket
His connection to Bitcoin and the Silk Road , a platform linked to illegal activities, has made his pardon controversial, but Trump’s promise has sparked renewed interest.
Other high-profile figures on the list include January 6 protestors, who have a 78% chance of being pardoned, and Trump’s former ally Steve Bannon, at 22%. There’s also speculation about pardons for figures like Julian Assange (16%), and even celebrities like Diddy and Young Thug, though their chances are slim.
Trump’s position on Bitcoin and his focus on pardoning figures tied to controversial causes indicate that his first 100 days could be filled with dramatic decisions. As his presidency begins, the world is watching to see who he will choose to free.
Will Ulbricht walk free, or will other figures take the spotlight? Only time will tell.
