Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes has made a bold prediction for Bitcoin’s future, predicting that the BTC price could rise to $250,000 by the end of 2025.
Hayes' prediction is based on a shift toward aggressive monetary policies and a broader wave of global money printing under the expected presidency of Donald Trump.
Speaking as chief investment officer of the Maelstrom Fund, Hayes outlined a scenario in which nationalist economic policies lead governments around the world to prioritize the economic stability of their citizens. “Every country will put its citizens first and print money to smooth out the volatility,” Hayes said.
According to Hayes, this increase in money supply will trigger a chain reaction of devaluation, prompting investors to seek alternatives such as gold and cryptocurrencies. “Bitcoin will reach $250,000 by the end of the year,” he predicted.
Hayes is among a growing number of analysts who predict that Donald Trump’s return to the presidency could create a crypto-friendly environment. Trump has signaled plans to implement policies favorable to digital assets that many believe could significantly boost the industry.
According to Hayes, Trump will adopt a more aggressive monetary policy than other world leaders, including deliberately devaluing the US dollar against gold. “Trump will massively devalue the dollar against gold,” Hayes said.
That forecast contrasts with the dollar’s current strength, which rose to a two-year high after Trump’s election, buoyed by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish move to keep interest rates higher to curb inflation.
Bitcoin traditionally thrives in environments where the dollar is weaker as investors look for alternative stores of value, but Hayes noted an unusual dynamic where both assets are surging at the same time.
Hayes also shared his 2025 Bitcoin trading roadmap. In his latest blog post, he told investors to sell Bitcoin in the final stages of the first quarter and wait for “favorable fiat liquidity conditions” to return in the third quarter. He expects these conditions to occur as the U.S. Treasury borrows more capital to fund government operations, a scenario that typically aligns with rising Bitcoin and cryptocurrency prices.
*This is not investment advice.
