Altcoin Season Unlikely as Bitcoin Dominance Rises, Analyst Predicts

A prominent cryptocurrency analyst has expressed doubts about the potential for a widespread altcoin rally in the current market climate.

The trader, known as The Flow Horse recently emphasized the challenges that make an altcoin season unlikely at this time.

The analyst believes the issue stems from insufficient liquidity within the market. While some assets might see significant price surges, this typically comes at the expense of other assets. The current market dynamic means that traders’ experiences vary widely depending on their holdings. Those invested in popular, capitalized assets may feel the market is thriving, while others holding less liquid tokens might perceive a downturn as their investments stagnate or lose value.

The Flow Horse highlighted that the market has become highly selective, favoring rotations into specific assets rather than a broad-based surge across all altcoins. The idea of a unified “altseason,” where rising interest and capital lift all tokens, seems increasingly implausible. The analyst noted that the sheer volume of low-quality projects in the crypto space further dilutes available resources, leaving little room for a general market uplift.

The trader also analyzed Bitcoin’s dominance (BTC.D), which measures the proportion of the crypto market cap attributed to Bitcoin. Currently sitting at 58.53%, the metric has climbed by over 4% in the past six months. This trend indicates that Bitcoin has been gaining value relative to altcoins, underscoring the current market’s preference for the leading cryptocurrency over smaller, riskier assets.

With these trends in play, the analyst concludes that the crypto market is unlikely to experience a broad altcoin rally in the near future. Instead, the focus seems to remain on selective assets with established interest and liquidity, while other tokens struggle to maintain relevance.