Bitget App
Trade smarter
Buy cryptoMarketsTradeFuturesEarnWeb3SquareMore
Trade
Spot
Buy and sell crypto with ease
Margin
Amplify your capital and maximize fund efficiency
Onchain
Going Onchain, without going Onchain!
Convert
Zero fees, no slippage
Explore
Launchhub
Gain the edge early and start winning
Copy
Copy elite trader with one click
Bots
Simple, fast, and reliable AI trading bot
Trade
USDT-M Futures
Futures settled in USDT
USDC-M Futures
Futures settled in USDC
Coin-M Futures
Futures settled in cryptocurrencies
Explore
Futures guide
A beginner-to-advanced journey in futures trading
Futures promotions
Generous rewards await
Overview
A variety of products to grow your assets
Simple Earn
Deposit and withdraw anytime to earn flexible returns with zero risk
On-chain Earn
Earn profits daily without risking principal
Structured Earn
Robust financial innovation to navigate market swings
VIP and Wealth Management
Premium services for smart wealth management
Loans
Flexible borrowing with high fund security
Bitcoin power law model predicts $200,000 by late 2025

Bitcoin power law model predicts $200,000 by late 2025

GrafaGrafa2025/04/28 12:23
By:Mahathir Bayena

Bitcoin’s (CRYPTO:BTC) recent rally to $95,000 has brought renewed attention to price models forecasting even higher targets by the end of 2025.

The “power law” model, which tracks Bitcoin’s long-term price growth based on network expansion, now projects a potential BTC price of $200,000 in the fourth quarter of 2025.

According to 21st Capital co-founder Sina, Bitcoin’s price has reclaimed its power-law trajectory, which is based on Metcalfe’s Law-suggesting value grows with the square of the number of users.

Sina’s Bitcoin Quantile Model outlines key targets of $130,000 and $163,000 before year-end, with $106,000 and $103,000 as interim milestones.

The model identifies the current market phase as a “Transition” range, where accumulation typically precedes a stronger rally.

Another analyst, known as apsk32, uses “power curve time contours” to compare Bitcoin’s current cycle with previous four-year cycles.

“Looking at two-year segments centered today, 4, 8, and 12 years ago. Price scaling performed using the power curve trendline. Expecting $200,000+ Bitcoin in Q4. Gold suggests we could go significantly higher,” the analyst noted, supporting the possibility of BTC reaching $200,000 in Q4 2025.

Historical data shows Bitcoin often lags gold’s price moves by 100-150 days, suggesting BTC could lead a new rally in the coming months if current trends persist.

The recent drop in the US Dollar Index (DXY) to a three-year low has also historically been bullish for Bitcoin, with analysts noting that previous DXY declines triggered parabolic BTC runs.

While some traders warn of short-term volatility and possible corrections, the prevailing sentiment among model-based analysts is that Bitcoin remains on track for significant gains, provided macroeconomic conditions and capital inflows remain supportive.

At the time of reporting, the Bitcoin price was $94,748.20.

2

Disclaimer: The content of this article solely reflects the author's opinion and does not represent the platform in any capacity. This article is not intended to serve as a reference for making investment decisions.

PoolX: Locked for new tokens.
APR up to 10%. Always on, always get airdrop.
Lock now!