Solana Pulls Back on ETF Delays: SOL Short- and Mid-Term Price Outlook

The bullish momentum around Solana (SOL) hit a roadblock as regulatory uncertainties cast a shadow over its near-term trajectory. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced a delay in ruling on Franklin Templeton’s proposed Solana exchange-traded fund (ETF) until November 14, 2025. This extension is part of a backlog of more than 90 pending crypto ETF applications, raising questions about the pace of institutional adoption.

Market perception, however, is not shaped by numbers alone. Just as Solana’s ETF delay shows how narratives drive sentiment, PR in crypto often determines how stories unfold in the public eye. Agencies like Outset PR specialize in turning uncertain market conditions into opportunities by providing clarity, data-driven strategy, and perfectly timed narratives—ensuring that visibility translates into measurable business impact.

ETF Impact on Solana

ETFs are a critical mechanism for drawing institutional capital into crypto. A Solana ETF would offer traditional investors a compliant, accessible way to gain exposure, potentially opening the door to billions in inflows. 

By pushing the decision to November, the SEC has created short-term uncertainty that could redirect capital toward assets with clearer regulatory paths like Bitcoin and Ethereum—both of which already have ETF products live or in advanced stages of review.

For SOL, the timing is particularly sensitive. The token outperformed the broader market over the past month with a +25.28% surge, making it a natural target for profit-taking once bullish catalysts faltered.

Technical Picture: Resistance and Cooling Momentum

Solana’s recent rally faced a technical ceiling at $249.12, a Fibonacci swing high that proved too strong to break. The rejection at this level coincides with a series of cooling indicators:

• RSI (14): Now at 69.32, easing down from a peak of 78.32 that signaled overbought conditions.

• MACD: The bullish crossover remains intact, but the histogram has narrowed from +3.18, showing fading momentum.

• Support: The immediate critical level sits at $231.87, aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.

Should this level fail, the next target lies at $221.19, the 38.2% retracement level. This would mark a meaningful pullback from the recent highs and signal that short-term traders have fully unwound their positions.

Beyond Prices: Why Narrative and Visibility Matter

Crypto markets don’t move on fundamentals and charts alone—they move on narratives. Solana’s ETF delay highlights how quickly sentiment can shift when stories about regulation dominate headlines. For projects and protocols, this dynamic underscores the importance of controlling their own story.

This is where Outset PR stands out. Known for replacing vague promises with data-driven campaigns, Outset PR builds strategies tied to performance-based media selection, product-market fit narratives, and precisely timed publications. Its proprietary traffic acquisition tech amplifies coverage across search, social, and discovery platforms, driving multiples more traffic than conventional PR.

For example, Outset PR helped ChangeNOW achieve a 40% sustained boost in reach by pairing editorial coverage with a large-scale Google Discover campaign.

By consistently monitoring media trends, audience shifts, and traffic flows, Outset PR provides crypto businesses with clarity on how their story will land, where it will resonate, and what impact it can create.

Learn more about Outset PR

SOL Short-Term Outlook: Profit-Taking in Play

After a 57% rally over 90 days, Solana has become vulnerable to tactical selling. Many traders appear to be locking in gains, especially given the uncertain timeline for ETF-driven institutional inflows. The $231.87 support level will be the immediate battleground—holding above it could preserve bullish sentiment, but losing it risks accelerating downside pressure toward $221.

In the near term, volatility will likely remain elevated, with range-bound trading dominating unless a new catalyst emerges.

SOL Mid-Term Outlook: A Pause, Not a Breakdown

While the delay weighs on short-term price action, the mid-term outlook for Solana remains constructive. Institutional approval odds are still high, and the ETF decision, once finalized, could unlock fresh capital inflows. Moreover, Solana continues to benefit from growing ecosystem adoption in DeFi, NFTs, and gaming—fundamental drivers that extend beyond short-lived regulatory headlines.

If Solana consolidates above key support levels through this cooling-off phase, it could set the stage for another leg higher into Q4 and early 2026, particularly if macro risk appetite remains intact.

SOL Price Scenarios  

Bottom Line

The SEC’s delay has cooled Solana’s rally, giving traders an excuse to take profits after a strong run. Short-term risks skew to the downside if $231.87 support breaks, but mid-term fundamentals and high ETF approval odds suggest the setback is temporary.