SEC ETF Approval and Fibonacci Analysis Fuel Optimism for XRP’s Bull Run

XRP Price Forecasts and SEC ETF Approvals Point to Growing Optimism in the Crypto Market

Recent activity in the

market reveals a blend of technical analysis and regulatory advancements, with price estimates ranging from $6.5 to $35 as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) considers multiple XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for approval. Experts cite renewed confidence due to Fibonacci extension targets, increasing interest from institutions, and the conclusion of Ripple’s prolonged legal dispute with the SEC title1 [ 1 ].

Technical specialists have pinpointed significant Fibonacci levels for XRP, predicting values between $4.45 and $8.52 by November 2025. Renowned trader Papa has mentioned an $8.50 target that aligns with the 3.618 Fibonacci extension, while EGRAG Crypto has mapped out a multi-stage plan, highlighting $6.5, $17, and $35 as potential targets title1 [ 1 ]. These outlooks gain support from XRP’s historical 2017-2018 surge, during which a bull flag pattern led to a 7,000% increase title2 [ 2 ]. In addition, Rose Premium Signals has called attention to the $0.618 Fibonacci retracement as a vital support, suggesting a rebound to $4.67 is likely if this area holds title3 [ 3 ].

The SEC’s green light for standard crypto ETF listings has sped up the regulatory timeline for XRP-related products. Eleven companies, such as Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, and Bitwise, have submitted applications, with final verdicts expected from October to November 2025. On September 18, 2025, the first XRP ETF, the REX-Osprey XRP ETF (XRPR), hit the market, marking an important test of institutional interest title8 [ 6 ]. Experts predict that inflows into XRP ETFs could total $5-7 billion, fueled by the favorable legal outcome for Ripple and expanding global payment partnerships.

Sentiment among traders is split between optimism and caution. A move above $3.60 would confirm the Fibonacci targets, with $6.19 (161.8% extension) and $8.52 (3.618 extension) as possible destinations title4 [ 4 ]. However, if XRP falls below the $3.00 support, the positive outlook would be negated, potentially driving the price down to $2.60 or $2.26 title4 [ 4 ]. Analysts including Khonshu Arc and Ali Martinez have pointed out that technical signals like the TD Sequential buy indicator and changes in RSI momentum could trigger additional upward movement title1 [ 1 ].

Clear regulatory guidelines and adoption by major institutions are viewed as essential for XRP’s growth. Ripple’s alliances with banks in regions like the Middle East and Latin America, together with the approval of spot ETFs, could open up more practical uses for XRP in international payments. Nevertheless, larger economic trends and Bitcoin’s performance also play important roles. For example, Zubic's prediction of a $10 XRP price depends on

reaching $250,000, showing how interconnected crypto assets can be title4 [ 4 ].

The upcoming phase for XRP depends on the SEC’s decisions and ETF market results. If regulatory approvals coincide with favorable technical signals, XRP could see a sharp rise similar to its 2018 peak. On the other hand, delays from regulators or inability to surpass crucial resistance could lead to prolonged consolidation. As both institutional and retail participants keep a close watch, the combination of technical projections, ETF progress, and global economic factors will determine XRP’s direction in the near future.