- Bitcoin Futures Pressure Index falls near bearish quarterly lows.
- Spot price remains steady above $114.5K VWAP support.
- Market signals short absorption and potential upside.
The Bitcoin Futures Pressure Index has dipped to 32.5 — nearing its quarterly bearish extremes. This indicator reflects increased selling pressure in the futures market , often signaling risk-off sentiment among leveraged traders. Yet, despite this futures-driven weakness, the spot market is painting a far more stable picture.
Bitcoin’s spot price continues to trade above the key 14-day Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP), currently around $114.5K. This level is acting as dynamic support, with multiple waves of selling being absorbed, suggesting that bullish momentum is holding up well.
VWAP as a Crucial Line of Defense
As long as Bitcoin remains above the VWAP and avoids dropping into the lower −1/−2 standard deviation bands, the most probable scenario is continued short absorption and sideways consolidation, potentially with an upward breakout.
The VWAP is widely used by institutional and retail traders to gauge fair value. A price holding above VWAP signals strong buyer interest, particularly when faced with increasing selling pressure from derivatives markets.
This resilience shows that although futures traders may be bearish, spot market participants are stepping in to support price levels — often a precursor to a short squeeze or bullish continuation.
What Could Happen Next for Bitcoin?
If the price maintains above the $114.5K VWAP level, traders should expect further grinding consolidation with bullish bias. However, a drop below VWAP could invite more selling and a deeper test of support zones.
Until then, the Bitcoin Futures Pressure Index and VWAP behavior remain critical indicators to watch closely in the short term.
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